Mapping 1-km soybean yield across China from 2001 to 2020 based on ensemble learning.

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College of Land Science and Technology, State Key Laboratory of Efficient Utilization of Agricultural Water Resources, China Agricultural University, Beijing, 100193, China.

Published: March 2025


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Article Abstract

Soybean is a critical agricultural product in China, with domestic production unable to satisfy the substantial demand, leading to a huge reliance on imports. To support the scientific formulation of agricultural policies and the optimization of domestic planting structures, we developed a high-resolution annual soybean yield dataset for China (2001-2020), ChinaSoyYield1km. This dataset was generated by applying ensemble learning algorithms and spatial decomposition to a comprehensive set of multi-source data, including climate variables, remote sensing imagery, soil properties, agricultural management practices, and official yield records. The integration of these diverse datasets allows for a nuanced understanding of the factors influencing soybean yield at a 1-km resolution. The resulting dataset captures over 50% of the yield variability at the county scale, demonstrating superior accuracy compared to publicly available datasets with reductions in Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) ranging from 0.18 to 0.60 t/ha. It is anticipated that our dataset will enhance agricultural studies, planning, and policy-making related to soybean cultivation, providing a valuable resource for both the scientific community and government.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11890572PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-04738-xDOI Listing

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