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Article Abstract

Purpose: Interleukin-10 receptor (IL-10R) deficiency can result in life-threatening very early-onset inflammatory bowel disease (VEO-IBD). Umbilical cord blood transplantation (UCBT) is a curative therapy for patients with IL-10R deficiency. This study aimed to investigate the efficacy of UCBT in treating IL-10R deficiency and develop a predictive model based on pre-transplant factors.

Methods: Eighty patients with IL-10R deficiency who underwent UCBT between July 2015 and April 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Cox proportional hazards regression and random survival forest were used to develop a predictive model.

Results: Median age at transplant was 13.0 months (interquartile range [IQR], 8.8-25.3 months). With a median follow-up time of 29.4 months (IQR, 3.2-57.1 months), the overall survival (OS) rate was 65.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 55.3%-76.3%). The engraftment rate was 85% (95% CI, 77%-93%). The cumulative incidences of acute and chronic graft-versus-host disease were 48.2% (95% CI, 37.1%-59.4%) and 12.2% (95% CI, 4.7%-19.8%), respectively. VEO-IBD-associated clinical symptoms were resolved in all survivors. The multivariate analysis showed that IL-6 and stool occult blood were independent prognostic risk factors. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model with stool occult blood, length- or height-for-age Z-score, medical history of sepsis, and cord blood total nucleated cells showed good discrimination ability, with a bootstrap concordance index of 0.767-0.775 in predicting OS.

Conclusion: Better inflammation control before transplantation and higher cord blood total nucleated cell levels can improve patient prognosis. The nomogram can successfully predict OS in patients with IL-10R deficiency undergoing UCBT.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10875-024-01669-xDOI Listing

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