Publications by authors named "Noah Scovronick"

The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), together with other US federal policies, offers a unique window of opportunity to promote health and equity goals through clean energy investments. Seizing these near-term opportunities to realize sizable synergies requires strategic actions from federal, state, and local actors.

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Despite emerging evidence on the health impacts of fine particulate matter (PM) from wildland fire smoke, the specific effects of PM composition on health outcomes remain uncertain. We developed a three-level, chemical transport model-based framework to estimate daily full-coverage concentrations of smoke-derived carbonaceous PM, specifically organic carbon (OC) and elemental carbon (EC), at a 1 × 1 km spatial resolution from 2002 to 2019 across the contiguous U.S.

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Background: Elevated ambient temperatures increase the risk for acute kidney-related morbidity, and medication use may increase vulnerability to heat exposure. This study examines whether medication use, and combination medication use (ie, polypharmacy), modifies the risk for temperature-related volume depletion (VD) and acute kidney injury (AKI).

Methods: This study uses patient-level emergency department (ED) visit data from four Atlanta-area hospitals during the warm season from 2013 to 2019.

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Coastal Glynn County, Georgia, is home to four hazardous sites on the United States EPA's National Priorities List. Toxicants of concern include mercury, the pesticide toxaphene, and Aroclor 1268, a mixture of highly chlorinated polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs); these toxicants are known to persist in the local environment and/or regional aquatic life, including local seafood. At the invitation of, and in partnership with, local community leaders and environmental groups, we conducted a human exposure study in Glynn County.

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High ambient temperature poses significant health risk globally. However, the relative importance of different exposure pathways leading to health risks remains unclear. For 9 US states during 2016-2018, ED visit records for heat exhaustion and heat stroke (HEAT), fluid and electrolyte imbalance (FEI), volume depletion (VD), and acute kidney injury (AKI) were identified via diagnosis codes.

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Background: Time-series models for count outcomes are routinely used to estimate short-term health effects of environmental exposures. The dispersion parameter is universally assumed to be constant over the study period.

Objective: The aim is to examine whether dispersion depends on time-varying covariates in a case study of emergency department visits in Atlanta during 1999-2009 and to evaluate approaches for addressing time-varying dispersion.

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Objective: This study aimed to improve estimates of the association between acute kidney injury (AKI) and ambient heat exposure through better case ascertainment and by isolating community-acquired AKI.

Methods: We conducted a case-crossover study using data on AKI-related emergency department (ED) visits in Atlanta. Daymet meteorology was used to assess exposure.

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Article Synopsis
  • Research reveals that fine particulate matter (PM) from wildland fire smoke significantly affects health, but the impact of its composition remains unclear.
  • A new model was created to estimate daily concentrations of smoke-derived Organic Carbon (OC) and Elemental Carbon (EC) in the U.S. and Southern Canada from 2002 to 2019, showing that wildland fire smoke has offset some improvements in air quality.
  • Long-term exposure to smoke-derived carbonaceous PM results in over 7,000 deaths annually in the contiguous U.S. alone, emphasizing the need for effective policies to manage fire smoke due to increasing frequency and intensity linked to climate change.
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As wildfires increasingly impact the global economy and public health, understanding their effects is crucial. Particularly, the relationship between wildfires and anxiety disorders remains unclear. In this study, we explore this association by analyzing 1,897,865 emergency department visits for anxiety disorders in the western United States.

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Background: The minimum mortality temperature (MMT) or MMT percentile (MMTP) is an indicator of population susceptibility to nonoptimum temperatures. MMT and MMTP change over time; however, the changing directions show region-wide heterogeneity. We examined the heterogeneity of temporal changes in MMT and MMTP across multiple communities and in multiple countries.

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  • The study investigates how meteorological factors like temperature and humidity influence COVID-19 transmission across 439 cities from February 2020 to August 2022.
  • Researchers found that lower temperatures (5 °C) significantly increase the risk of COVID-19 incidents compared to moderate temperatures (17 °C), with absolute humidity showing an inverse relationship.
  • The analysis revealed no significant interaction between vaccination rates or variants and the effects of weather on COVID-19 transmission, reinforcing the importance of environmental factors in understanding the pandemic.
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  • The study investigates how daily rainfall characteristics—like intensity, duration, and frequency—affect mortality rates from all causes, cardiovascular issues, and respiratory problems across 34 countries from 1980 to 2020.
  • It utilizes a time series analysis to evaluate the association between daily mortality and rainfall events that occur at different return periods (one, two, and five years), including the effects of extreme rainfall with a 14-day lag.
  • The results indicate that extreme rainfall events (five-year return period) correlate with increased mortality rates, particularly for respiratory cases, while moderate rainfall shows protective effects, and the impact varies based on climate and vegetation.
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Background: Heterogeneity in temperature-mortality relationships across locations may partly result from differences in the demographic structure of populations and their cause-specific vulnerabilities. Here we conduct the largest epidemiological study to date on the association between ambient temperature and mortality by age and cause using data from 532 cities in 33 countries.

Methods: We collected daily temperature and mortality data from each country.

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Background: Precipitation could affect the transmission of diarrheal diseases. The diverse precipitation patterns across different climates might influence the degree of diarrheal risk from precipitation. This study determined the associations between precipitation and diarrheal mortality in tropical, temperate, and arid climate regions.

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Background: Here, we investigate the association between outdoor temperature and fatal police shootings in the United States between 2015 and 2021.

Methods: We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study. Data on fatal police shootings were from the Washington Post's Fatal Force database and temperature data were from Daymet.

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Article Synopsis
  • Temperature variability (TV), both intra-day and inter-day, impacts mortality rates, but this study found intra-day variation poses a higher risk to all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality.
  • Analyzing data from 758 locations over nearly 50 years, the researchers discovered that each increase in intra-day TV correlates with a greater increase in mortality risk compared to inter-day TV.
  • The study recommends further evaluations of the impacts of temperature variability on health, particularly focusing on intra-day fluctuations, which accounted for more than four times the mortality risk compared to inter-day variability.
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Background: Pollen exposure is associated with substantial respiratory morbidity, but its potential impact on cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains less understood. This study aimed to investigate the associations between daily levels of 13 pollen types and emergency department (ED) visits for eight CVD outcomes over a 26-year period in Atlanta, GA.

Methods: We acquired pollen data from Atlanta Allergy & Asthma, a nationally certified pollen counting station, and ED visit data from individual hospitals and the Georgia Hospital Association.

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Short-term exposure to ground-level ozone in cities is associated with increased mortality and is expected to worsen with climate and emission changes. However, no study has yet comprehensively assessed future ozone-related acute mortality across diverse geographic areas, various climate scenarios, and using CMIP6 multi-model ensembles, limiting our knowledge on future changes in global ozone-related acute mortality and our ability to design targeted health policies. Here, we combine CMIP6 simulations and epidemiological data from 406 cities in 20 countries or regions.

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Older adults are generally amongst the most vulnerable to heat and cold. While temperature-related health impacts are projected to increase with global warming, the influence of population aging on these trends remains unclear. Here we show that at 1.

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Introduction: Ambient particulate matter ≤ 2.5 µm in aerodynamic diameter (PM) exposure elevates the risk for cardiovascular disease morbidity (CVDM). The aim of this study is to characterise which area-level measures of socioeconomic position (SEP) modify the relationship between PM exposure and CVDM in Missouri at the census-tract (CT) level.

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Background: Short-term temperature variability, defined as the temperature range occurring within a short time span at a given location, appears to be increasing with climate change. Such variation in temperature may influence acute health outcomes, especially cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Most research on temperature variability has focused on the impact of within-day diurnal temperature range, but temperature variability over a period of a few days may also be health-relevant through its impact on thermoregulation and autonomic cardiac functioning.

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Exposure to heatwaves may result in adverse human health impacts. Heat alerts in South Africa are currently based on defined temperature-fixed threshold values for large towns and cities. However, heat-health warning systems (HHWS) should incorporate metrics that have been shown to be effective predictors of negative heat-related health outcomes.

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Exposure to heat is associated with a substantial burden of disease and is an emerging issue in the context of climate change. Heat is of particular concern in India, which is one of the world's hottest countries and also most populous, where relatively little is known about personal heat exposure, particularly in rural areas. Here, we leverage data collected as part of a randomized controlled trial to describe personal temperature exposures of adult women (40-79 years of age) in rural Tamil Nadu.

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