Circulating tumor DNA correlates with microvascular invasion and predicts tumor recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Background: To evaluate the feasibility of predicting tumor recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after curative hepatectomy by detection of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) through droplet digital PCR (ddPCR).

Methods: HCC patients receiving surgical treatment were enrolled and peripheral blood samples before and after hepatectomy were collected. Four hotspot mutants, -rs28934571 (c.747G>T), -rs1242535815 (c.1-124C>T), -rs121913412 (c.121A>G) and -rs121913407 (c.133T>C) were selected to detect ctDNA and the mutant allele frequency (MAF) was calculated accordingly. The matched peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) were used for Sanger sequencing. The clinicopathologic information of the patients was retrospectively analyzed and the predictive abilities for postoperative recurrence of different clinicopathologic parameters and ctDNA were compared.

Results: Eighty-one patients were enrolled and 70.4% (57/81) of them had detectable ctDNA before hepatectomy. Positive preoperative ctDNA status was related to larger tumor size (P=0.001), multiple tumor lesions (P=0.001), microvascular invasion (MVI) (P<0.001), advanced BCLC stages (P<0.001) and shorter disease free survival (DFS) (P<<0.001) and overall survival (OS) (P<<0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that detectable ctDNA was the independent risk factor for postoperative recurrence. Moreover, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves proved that ctDNA possessed the second largest area under the curve (AUC) in foretelling postoperative recurrence right after BCLC stage. For patients after surgery, the alterations of MAF were also correlated to postsurgical recurrence. Patients with increased MAF had more incidences of MVI (P=0.016) and recurrence (P<0.001). At the same time, Kaplan-Meier curves revealed a significant shorter DFS and OS in the patients with increased MAF compared to the patients with decreased MAF (P<0.001 and P=0.0045, respectively) and ROC curves showed MAF to possess the greatest AUC among all the indices for postoperative recurrence.

Conclusions: Digital droplets PCR assessment of specific gene combination through ctDNA possesses potential prognostic value in HCC patients undergoing surgical treatment.