[Analysis of Early-Death and Factors Affecting Prognosis of Patients with Acute Promyelocytic Leukemia].

Objective: To investigate the factors affecting the early-death, overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) of acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) patients.

Methods: The clinical and laboratorial charachteristics of 176 APL patients in our center were analyzed retrospectively during January 2002 to Mar 2016. The risk factors of early death and factors affecting OS and RFS of patients were analyzed.

Results: Among total of 176 patients, early death occured in 10 patients. Multivariate analysis showed both age ≥60 years and fibrinogen<1.5 g/L (HR=6.4, 95%CI 1.4-28.2) (P=0.015), (HR=12.2, 95%CI 1.5-102.8) (P=0.021), respectively were the independent risk factors for the early death during the induction therapy. Among 154 patients with full follow-up data (median follow-up time was 101(2-262) months), the estimated 5-year OS and RFS rate were (98± 1)% and (77± 4)%, respectively. Cox regression analysis showed relapse during treatment as well as initial WBC count≥30× 10/L were independent prognostic indicators for OS. Accompanied psoriasis indicated higher relapse rate of APL(HR=4.8, 95%CI 1.8-12.5)(P=0.002), while the low-risk APL indicated lower relapse rate (HR=0.4, 95%CI 0.2-0.99)(P=0.048).

Conclusion: Importance should be attached to the early-death events in elder and low-fibrinogen APL patients. As for patients with psoriasis or non low-risk group, emphasizing the intensified dynamic supervision during the treatment helps to detect the early-relapse events. For relapsed patients and patients with ≥30× 10/L WBC count, seeking more optimized therapy strategy seems allow this cohorts to get better prognosis.