Publications by authors named "Vasa Curcin"

Background: The Health Information System (HIS) in public healthcare services in Serbia was introduced in 2008, with the first comprehensive evaluation of its maturity conducted in 2021. Since then, several improvement initiatives have been implemented. This study aimed to assess the extent of HIS advancement between 2021 and 2024 and to identify both the desirable and realistic future maturity status.

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Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the foremost cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Recent advancements in machine learning (ML) have demonstrated substantial potential in augmenting risk stratification for primary prevention, surpassing conventional statistical models in predictive performance. Thus, integrating ML with Electronic Health Records (EHRs) enables refined risk estimation by leveraging the granularity and breadth of longitudinal individual patient data.

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Background: Despite a dramatic increase in the number of people with generalized anxiety disorder (GAD), a substantial number still do not seek help from health professionals, resulting in reduced quality of life. With the growth in popularity of social media platforms, individuals have become more willing to express their emotions through these channels. Therefore, social media data have become valuable for identifying mental health status.

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Background: In Chinese traditional culture, discussions surrounding death are often considered taboo, leading to a poor quality of death, and limited public awareness and knowledge about palliative and end-of-life care (PEoLC). However, the increasing prevalence of social media in health communication in China presents an opportunity to promote and educate the public about PEoLC through online discussions.

Objective: This study aimed to examine the factors influencing public engagement in PEoLC discussions on a Chinese social media platform and develop practice recommendations to promote such engagement.

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Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains a major cause of mortality in the UK, prompting the need for improved risk predictive models for primary prevention. Machine learning (ML) models utilizing electronic health records (EHRs) offer potential enhancements over traditional risk scores like QRISK3 and ASCVD. To systematically evaluate and compare the efficacy of ML models against conventional CVD risk prediction algorithms using EHR data for medium to long-term (5-10 years) CVD risk prediction.

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Introduction: Understanding 1-year mortality following major surgery offers valuable insights into patient outcomes and the quality of peri-operative care. Few models exist that predict 1-year mortality accurately. This study aimed to develop a predictive model for 1-year mortality in patients undergoing complex non-cardiac surgery using a novel machine-learning technique called multi-objective symbolic regression.

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Background: We aimed to identify and characterise the longitudinal patterns of multimorbidity associated with stroke.

Methods: We used an unsupervised patient-oriented clustering approach to analyse primary care electronic health records (EHR) of 30 common long-term conditions (LTC) in patients with stroke aged over 18, registered in 41 general practices in south London between 2005 and 2021.

Results: Of 849,968 registered patients, 9,847 (1.

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Article Synopsis
  • Nosocomial infections and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) pose serious global healthcare challenges, motivating the need for effective detection and treatment strategies.
  • This study introduces a machine learning method called Multi-Objective Symbolic Regression (MOSR), which uses clinical data to predict bloodstream infections (BSI) and assess AMR while overcoming limitations of traditional ML approaches.
  • Results show that MOSR significantly outperforms standard ML models in predicting BSI and AMR, achieving higher F1-Scores, thus serving as a potentially scalable solution to improve Antimicrobial Stewardship (AMS) practices.
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Once the nature and number of patients with Long COVID was more fully understood, UK secondary care developed services to investigate, treat and support these patients. We aimed to identify evidence for demographic health inequalities based on general practitioner (GP) Long COVID referrals to available secondary care services. Despite Long COVID demographics broadly reflecting the multiethnic and socially disadvantaged profile of the study population, we found that secondary care referral was mainly focussed on older age patients and those born in the UK with co-morbid anxiety; although co-morbid diabetes was associated with reduced referrals.

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Background: Improved screening uptake is essential for early breast cancer detection, women's health and reducing health disparities. However, minority ethnic and deprived communities often face lower breast cancer screening rates and limited access to culturally tailored educational materials. A recent review found limited culturally tailored materials for breast cancer education.

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Objective: To enable reproducible research at scale by creating a platform that enables health data users to find, access, curate, and re-use electronic health record phenotyping algorithms.

Materials And Methods: We undertook a structured approach to identifying requirements for a phenotype algorithm platform by engaging with key stakeholders. User experience analysis was used to inform the design, which we implemented as a web application featuring a novel metadata standard for defining phenotyping algorithms, access via Application Programming Interface (API), support for computable data flows, and version control.

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While modelling and simulation are powerful techniques for exploring complex phenomena, if they are not coupled with suitable real-world data any results obtained are likely to require extensive validation. We consider this problem in the context of search game modelling, and suggest that both demographic and behaviour data are used to configure certain model parameters. We show this integration in practice by using a combined dataset of over 150,000 individuals to configure a specific search game model that captures the environment, population, interventions and individual behaviours relating to winter health service pressures.

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Objectives: This study aimed to assess the impact of on-demand versus continuous prescribing of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) on symptom burden and health-related quality of life in patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) presenting to primary care.

Methods: Thirty-six primary care centres across Europe enrolled adult GERD patients from electronic health records. Participants were randomised to on-demand or continuous PPI prescriptions and were followed for 8 weeks.

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Introduction: Clinical decision support (CDS) systems (CDSSs) that integrate clinical guidelines need to reflect real-world co-morbidity. In patient-specific clinical contexts, transparent recommendations that allow for contraindications and other conflicts arising from co-morbidity are a requirement. In this work, we develop and evaluate a non-proprietary, standards-based approach to the deployment of computable guidelines with explainable argumentation, integrated with a commercial electronic health record (EHR) system in Serbia, a middle-income country in West Balkans.

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Background: Social media with real-time content and a wide-reaching user network opens up more possibilities for palliative and end-of-life care (PEoLC) researchers who have begun to embrace it as a complementary research tool. This review aims to identify the uses of social media in PEoLC studies and to examine the ethical considerations and data collection approaches raised by this research approach.

Methods: Nine online databases were searched for PEoLC research using social media published before December 2022.

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Article Synopsis
  • The importance of openly sharing and reusing specimens and data in life sciences research is highlighted, as it directly affects the quality of findings and knowledge.
  • Accurate documentation of pre-analytical conditions, analytical procedures, and data processing is crucial to validate research results, but current information on sample and data provenance is often inadequate.
  • The publication discusses a standardization effort aimed at creating reliable machine-actionable documentation for data lineage and specimens, inviting experts from biotechnology and biomedical fields to contribute to this initiative.
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Background: In the UK, women from ethnically diverse and socioeconomically deprived communities are at increased risk of underdiagnosis of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and breast cancer. Promoting CVD prevention and awareness of breast cancer screening via community salons and primary health care partnerships can improve uptake of screening services and early detection.

Methods: Concept mapping is a multistage mixed methods participatory approach comprised of six stages: preparation, brainstorming, structuring of statements, representing statements, interpretation and utilisation of maps using Group wisdom software.

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Objectives: We aimed to develop and externally validate a generalisable risk prediction model for 30-day stroke mortality suitable for supporting quality improvement analytics in stroke care using large nationwide stroke registers in the UK and Sweden.

Design: Registry-based cohort study.

Setting: Stroke registries including the Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme (SSNAP) in England, Wales and Northern Ireland (2013-2019) and the national Swedish stroke register (Riksstroke 2015-2020).

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Introduction: Current evidence regarding the clinical outcomes of non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and previous stroke is inconclusive, especially in patients with previous intracranial haemorrhage (ICrH). We aim to undertake a systematic review and meta-analysis assessing the effectiveness and safety of NOACs versus warfarin in AF patients with a history of stroke.

Methods: We searched studies published up to December 10, 2022, on PubMed, Medline, Embase, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials.

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The objective is to identify clinical screening criteria for a rare disease,- Behcet's disease and to analyse the digitally structured and unstructured components of the Identified Clinical criteria, build a clinical archetype using OpenEHR editor to be used by learning health support systems for clinical screening of the disease. Methods/Search Strategy: Literature search was conducted, 230 papers were screened, and finally 5 papers were retained, analysed and summarised. Digital Analysis of the clinical criteria was done and a sandardised clinical knowledge model of the same was built using OpenEHR editor, underpinned by OpenEHR international standards.

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Background: Palliative and end-of-life care (PEoLC) played a critical role in relieving distress and providing grief support in response to the heavy toll caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. However, little is known about public opinions concerning PEoLC during the pandemic. Given that social media have the potential to collect real-time public opinions, an analysis of this evidence is vital to guide future policy-making.

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Symbolic Regression (SR) is a data-driven methodology based on Genetic Programming, and it is widely used to produce arithmetic expressions for modelling learning tasks. Compared to other popular statistical techniques, SR outcomes are given by an arbitrary set of mathematical operations, representing arbitrarily complex linear and non-linear functions without a predefined fixed structure. Another advantage is that, unlike other machine learning algorithms, SR produces interpretable results.

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Article Synopsis
  • Randomised controlled trials suggest that steroids lower the risk of death in severe COVID-19 cases, but real-world studies have been inconsistent in showing this benefit.
  • This study analyzed data from over 1,100 patients with severe COVID-19 who were treated with various steroids, assessing the effects of treatment duration on mortality rates.
  • Results indicated that patients receiving steroids for more than three days had a significantly lower risk of in-hospital mortality, confirming findings from previous clinical trials.
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