Treatment reclassification in Canada from the Osteoporosis Canada 2023 clinical practice guidelines: the Manitoba BMD Registry.

Unlabelled: Osteoporosis Canada 2023 clinical practice guidelines increase the number of individuals recommended or suggested for anti-osteoporosis pharmacotherapy by refining treatment guidance for those who fell within the 2010 guidelines' moderate-risk category.

Purpose: In 2023, Osteoporosis Canada updated its 2010 clinical practice guidelines based upon consideration of fracture history, 10-year major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) risk, and BMD T-score in conjunction with age. The 2023 guidelines eliminated risk categories, including the moderate-risk group that did not provide clear treatment guidance. The current study was performed to appreciate the implications of the shift from 2010 risk categories to 2023 treatment guidance.

Methods: The study population consisted of 79,654 individuals age ≥ 50 years undergoing baseline DXA testing from January 1996 to March 2018. Each individual was assigned to mutually exclusive categories based on 2010 and 2023 guideline recommendations. Treatment qualification, 10-year predicted and 10-year observed MOF risk were compared.

Results: Treatment reclassification under the 2023 guidelines only affected 33.8% of individuals in the 2010 moderate-risk group, with 13.0% assigned to no treatment, 14.4% to suggest treatment, and 6.4% to recommend treatment. During the mean follow-up of 7.2 years, 6364 (8.0%) individuals experienced one or more incidents of MOF. The observed 10-year cumulative incidence of MOF in the study population was 10.5% versus the predicted 10.7% (observed to predicted mean calibration ratio 0.98, 95% CI 0.96-1.00). Individuals reclassified from 2010 moderate risk to 2023 recommend treatment were at greater MOF risk than those in the 2010 moderate-risk group assigned to 2023 suggest treatment or no treatment, but at lower risk than those in the 2010 high-risk group.

Conclusions: Osteoporosis Canada 2023 clinical practice guidelines affect individuals within the 2010 moderate-risk category, increasing the number for whom anti-osteoporosis pharmacotherapy is recommended or suggested. Increased treatment could reduce the population burden of osteoporotic fractures, though moderate-risk individuals now qualifying for treatment have a lower predicted and observed fracture risk than high-risk individuals recommended for treatment under the 2010 guidelines.