The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is a potential biomarker for the occurrence of atrial fibrillation in patients with obstructive sleep apnea: A BIOMARKER OF AF IN OSA PATIENTS.

Background: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) affects the occurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) and usually coexists with AF. Chronic inflammation has been identified as an important factor in the development of AF, and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been identified as a biomarker that positively correlates with the degree of inflammation. However, little information regarding how NLR correlates with AF in OSA patients.

Methods: Our study enrolled 368 patients with OSA between September 2018 and April 2023. All data were collected after admission. Independently associated factors were assessed by multivariate logistic regression and then constructed a nomogram to predict AF risk. Nomogram's calculation model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The correlation between CHA2DS2-VASc scores and NLR was assessed using Spearman correlation.

Results: Multivariate logistic regression showed that high level log-transformed NLR (OR, 1.664; 95% CI, 1.026-2.699; P = 0.039) was independently associated with the presence of AF in patients with OSA. The concordance index (0.817, 95% CI, 0.770-0.864), ROC curve, calibration curve, and DCA of the nomogram indicated this model had well clinical utility. Also, the nomogram's calculation model could identify patients who are at a higher risk of developing AF, and the CHA2DS2-VASc score was positively correlated with NLR in patients with AF (P < 0.05).

Conclusion: The elevated NLR may serve as a promising biomarker for assessing the risk of AF in individuals with OSA. The nomogram's calculation model may be utilized as a tool to estimate the probability of AF occurrence in OSA patients.