Publications by authors named "Keith E Muller"

GLIMMPSE Version 3 is a free, web-based, open-source software tool, which calculates power and sample size for general linear mixed models with Gaussian errors. The software permits power calculations for clinical trials, randomized experiments, and observational studies with clustering, repeated measures, and both, and almost any testable hypothesis. The software has been supported by five United States National Institutes of Health (NIH) grants, is used for more than 14,000 power or sample size calculations per year, has been cited in almost 500 peer-reviewed manuscripts, and used to design more than 200 million dollars in NIH-funded studies.

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Article Synopsis
  • - Researchers are interested in how repeated exposures relate to outcomes over time and want to find the best temporal model to assess these associations.
  • - Key hypotheses include the idea that an exposure during a sensitive period, before the current time, or all prior exposures may significantly influence the outcomes.
  • - The article introduces four temporal models that allow for varying associations over time and guides researchers on how to test which model best fits their data, ultimately helping identify the best timing for interventions in developmental psychopathology.
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Tracking trajectories of body size in children provides insight into chronic disease risk. One measure of pediatric body size is body mass index (BMI), a function of height and weight. Errors in measuring height or weight may lead to incorrect assessment of BMI.

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We give examples of three features in the design of randomized controlled clinical trials which can increase power and thus decrease sample size and costs. We consider an example multilevel trial with several levels of clustering. For a fixed number of independent sampling units, we show that power can vary widely with the choice of the level of randomization.

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Although superficially similar to data from clinical research, data extracted from electronic health records may require fundamentally different approaches for model building and analysis. Because electronic health record data is designed for clinical, rather than scientific use, researchers must first provide clear definitions of outcome and predictor variables. Yet an iterative process of defining outcomes and predictors, assessing association, and then repeating the process may increase Type I error rates, and thus decrease the chance of replicability, defined by the National Academy of Sciences as the chance of "obtaining consistent results across studies aimed at answering the same scientific question, each of which has obtained its own data.

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When designing repeated measures studies, both the amount and the pattern of missing outcome data can affect power. The chance that an observation is missing may vary across measurements, and missingness may be correlated across measurements. For example, in a physiotherapy study of patients with Parkinson's disease, increasing intermittent dropout over time yielded missing measurements of physical function.

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Background: When evaluating the impact of environmental exposures on human health, study designs often include a series of repeated measurements. The goal is to determine whether populations have different trajectories of the environmental exposure over time. Power analyses for longitudinal mixed models require multiple inputs, including clinically significant differences, standard deviations, and correlations of measurements.

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Objective: We sought to examine the extent to which body mass index (BMI) was available in electronic health records for Florida Medicaid recipients aged 5 to 18 years taking Second-Generation Antipsychotics (SGAP). We also sought to illustrate how clinical data can be used to identify children most at-risk for SGAP-induced weight gain, which cannot be done using process-focused measures.

Methods: Electronic health record (EHR) data and Medicaid claims were linked from 2013 to 2019.

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Background And Objective: First-line, nonpharmacological therapy is recommended for many pediatric mental health (MH) conditions prior to initiating antipsychotic prescription therapies. Many children do not receive these recommended services, despite the known association between antipsychotic medications and metabolic dysfunction. The main objective of this study was to quantify the association among children's MH diagnosis categories, sociodemographic characteristics and receipt of first-line psychosocial care among children in Florida Medicaid METHODS: Florida Medicaid enrollment, healthcare and pharmacy claims were used for this multivariate analysis.

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Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a leading risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma.We employed a retrospective cohort study design and analyzed 2012-2018 Medicaid claims linked with electronic health records data from the OneFlorida Data Trust, a statewide data repository containing electronic health records data for 15.07 million Floridians from 11 health care systems.

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We derive a noncentral [Formula: see text] power approximation for the Kenward and Roger test. We use a method of moments approach to form an approximate distribution for the Kenward and Roger scaled Wald statistic, under the alternative. The result depends on the approximate moments of the unscaled Wald statistic.

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The purpose of this design and development case is to share our experiences in the transformation of a face-to-face workshop into a Massive Open Online Course (MOOC) for a prominent MOOC platform. The goal of the workshop and MOOC is to teach learners how to conduct appropriate power and sample size analysis for multilevel and longitudinal studies in social and behavioral health research. Learners include people from across the biomedical research spectrum, from students to full professors.

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Despite the popularity of the general linear mixed model for data analysis, power and sample size methods and software are not generally available for commonly used test statistics and reference distributions. Statisticians resort to simulations with homegrown and uncertified programs or rough approximations which are misaligned with the data analysis. For a wide range of designs with longitudinal and clustering features, we provide accurate power and sample size approximations for inference about fixed effects in linear models we call reversible.

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Objective: To examine whether the Wellness Incentive and Navigation (WIN) intervention can improve health-related quality of life (HRQOL) among Medicaid enrollees with co-occurring physical and behavioral health conditions.

Data Sources: Annual telephone survey data from 2013 to 2016, linked with claims data.

Study Design: We recruited 1259 participants from the Texas STAR + PLUS managed care program and randomized them into an intervention group that received flexible wellness accounts and navigator services or a control group that received standard care.

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Importance: Nevi are a risk factor for melanoma and other forms of skin cancer, and many of the same factors confer risk for both. Understanding childhood nevus development may provide clues to possible causes and prevention of melanoma.

Objectives: To describe nevus acquisition from the ages of 3 to 16 years among white youths and evaluate variation by sex, Hispanic ethnicity, and body sites that are chronically vs intermittently exposed to the sun.

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A derivation based on spectral decomposition allows specifying the characteristic function of the trace of a singular or nonsingular, central or noncentral, true or pseudo-Wishart. The trace equals a weighted sum of noncentral chi-squared random variables and constants. We describe computational methods.

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Repeated measures are common in clinical trials and epidemiological studies. Designing studies with repeated measures requires reasonably accurate specifications of the variances and correlations to select an appropriate sample size. Underspecifying the variances leads to a sample size that is inadequate to detect a meaningful scientific difference, while overspecifying the variances results in an unnecessarily large sample size.

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Multilevel and longitudinal studies are frequently subject to missing data. For example, biomarker studies for oral cancer may involve multiple assays for each participant. Assays may fail, resulting in missing data values that can be assumed to be missing completely at random.

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We used theoretical and simulation-based approaches to study Type I error rates for one-stage and two-stage analytic methods for cluster-randomized designs. The one-stage approach uses the observed data as outcomes and accounts for within-cluster correlation using a general linear mixed model. The two-stage model uses the cluster specific means as the outcomes in a general linear univariate model.

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Importance: Examining the impact of Medicaid-managed care home-based and community-based service (HCBS) alternatives to institutional care is critical given the recent rapid expansion of these models nationally.

Objective: We analyzed the effects of STAR+PLUS, a Texas Medicaid-managed care HCBS waiver program for adults with disabilities on the quality of chronic disease care.

Design, Setting, And Participants: We compared quality before and after a mandatory transition of disabled Medicaid enrollees older than 21 years from fee-for-service (FFS) or primary care case management (PCCM) to STAR+PLUS in 28 counties, relative to enrollees in counties remaining in the FFS or PCCM models.

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Objectives: After conducting a media campaign focusing on the importance of oral and pharyngeal cancer (OPC) examinations, we assessed mechanisms of behavior change among individuals receiving an OPC examination for the first time.

Methods: We used data from 2 waves of telephone surveys of individuals residing in 36 rural census tracts in northern Florida (n = 806). The second survey occurred after our media intervention.

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Context: Medical and health policy decision makers require improved design and analysis methods for comparative effectiveness research (CER) trials. In CER trials, there may be limited information to guide initial design choices. In general settings, adaptive designs (ADs) have effectively overcome limits on initial information.

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Researchers seeking to develop complex statistical applications for mobile devices face a common set of difficult implementation issues. In this work, we discuss general solutions to the design challenges. We demonstrate the utility of the solutions for a free mobile application designed to provide power and sample size calculations for univariate, one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA), GLIMMPSE Lite.

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