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Article Abstract

Background: Amyloid removal has been used as a surrogate outcome in Alzheimer's disease trials, allowing accelerated approval of aducanumab and lecanemab. The A4 (Alzheimer's Clinical Trial Consortium A4/LEARN) trial's individual-level data supports novel methods to evaluate amyloid's validity as a surrogate for cognitive decline.

Methods: In 812 participants, cognitive and functional change was measured using the CDR-SB score. Instrumental-variable analysis estimated the effect of amyloid reduction; mediation analysis quantified solanezumab's cognitive effect mediated by amyloid reduction.

Results: Each 10 centiloid reduction due to randomization to treatment was associated with 0.026 higher CDR-SB (95% CI: -0.013, 0.065). 14.6% of solanezumab's effect on cognition was mediated by amyloid reduction (95% CI: -122%, 208%).

Discussion: Estimates showing near-zero effects of amyloid reduction on cognitive decline suggest minimal impact of amyloid reduction in populations with little disease progression. Replication in anti-amyloid trials with larger treatment effects could guide treatment and regulatory decisions.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12330451PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2025.07.21.25331942DOI Listing

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