Temporal trends in the burden of vertebral fractures caused by falls in China and globally from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Background: This study aimed to estimate temporal trends in the burden of vertebral fractures (VFs) caused by falls by gender and age in China and globally from 1990 to 2021.

Methods: Data concerning the characteristics of VFs caused by falls in China and worldwide, with a focus on metrics in incidence, prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) and their age-standardised rates, were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to identify periods with significant changes. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated to reflect the temporal trends from 1990 to 2021. We utilised the age-period-cohort (APC) model to assess the effects of age, period, and cohort on the burden of VFs in China.

Results: From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardised prevalence rate (ASPR) and age-standardised YLD rate (ASYR) of VFs caused by falls exhibited an overall increase in China, whereas a general decline was observed globally. Furthermore, the ASIR, ASPR and ASYR were higher for males than females in China and worldwide. In 2021, across all age groups, the disease burden of VFs was primarily observed among the elderly population, particularly in the older female population, both in China and globally. The impact of age, period, and cohort on the incidence, prevalence, and YLDs exhibited variations in China.

Conclusion: The burden of VFs in China remains significant, particularly among older females. Given the considerable size of the elderly population and the ageing of the Chinese population, VFs remain critical public issues. Therefore, continued efforts must be made to address the health consequences of VFs caused by falls.