Radiomic and Clinical Model in the Prognostic Evaluation of Adenoid Cystic Carcinoma of the Head and Neck.

Background/objectives: Adenoid Cystic Carcinoma (AdCC) is a rare malignant salivary gland tumor, with high rates of recurrence and distant metastasis. This study aims to stratify patients Relapse-Free Survival (RFS) using a combined model of clinical and radiomic features from preoperative MRI.

Methods: This retrospective study included patients with primary AdCC who underwent surgery and adjuvant radiotherapy. Segmentations were manually performed by two head and neck radiologists. Radiomic features were extracted using the 3D Slicer software. Descriptive statistics was performed. A Survival Random Forest model was employed to select which radiological feature predict RFS. Cox proportional hazards models were constructed using clinical, radiological variables or both. Synthetic data augmentation was applied to address the small sample size and improve model robustness. Models were validated on real data and compared using the C-index and Prediction Error Curves (PEC).

Results: Three Cox models were developed: one with clinical features (C-index = 0.67), one with radiomic features (C-index = 0.68), and one combining both (C-index = 0.77). The combined clinical-radiomic model had the highest predictive accuracy and outperformed models based on clinical or radiomic features. The combined model also exhibited the lowest mean Brier score in PEC analysis, indicating better predictive performance.

Conclusions: This study demonstrate that a combined radiomic-clinical model can predict RFS in AdCC patients. This model may provide clinicians a valuable tool in patient's management and may aid in personalized treatment planning.