Comprehensive Treatment Uncertainty Analysis and PTV Margin Estimation for Fiducial Tracking in Robotic Liver Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy.

Objective: This study aims to quantify the uncertainties of CyberKnife Synchrony fiducial tracking for liver stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) cases, and evaluate the required planning target volume (PTV) margins.

Methods: A total of 11 liver tumor patients with a total of 57 fractions, who underwent SBRT with synchronous fiducial tracking, were enrolled for the present study. The correlation/prediction model error, geometric error, and beam targeting error were quantified to determine the patient-level and fraction-level individual composite treatment uncertainties. The composite uncertainties and multiple margin recipes were compared for scenarios with and without rotation correction during treatment.

Results: The correlation model error-related uncertainty was 4.3±1.8, 1.4±0.5 and 1.8±0.7 mm in the superior-inferior (SI), left-right, and anterior-posterior directions, respectively. These were the primary contributors among all uncertainty sources. The geometric error significantly increased for treatments without rotation correction. The fraction-level composite uncertainties had a long tail distribution. Furthermore, the generally used 5-mm isotropic margin covered all uncertainties in the left-right and anterior-posterior directions, and only 75% of uncertainties in the SI direction. In order to cover 90% of uncertainties in the SI direction, an 8-mm margin would be needed. For scenarios without rotation correction, additional safety margins should be added, especially in the superior-inferior and anterior-posterior directions.

Conclusion: The present study revealed that the correlation model error contributes to most of the uncertainties in the results. Most patients/fractions can be covered by a 5-mm margin. Patients with large treatment uncertainties might need a patient-specific margin.