Publications by authors named "Mohammad Ehsanul Karim"

Background And Aim: Urine drug testing is often utilized alongside opioid agonist treatment to assess client progress by validating self-reported substance use, monitoring for diversion and supporting clinical decisions for take-home dosing. However, there is a paucity of evidence to support the practice of urine drug testing. We aimed to determine the association of alternative urine drug testing frequencies with opioid agonist treatment discontinuation, compared with no monitoring, among individuals receiving methadone or buprenorphine/naloxone treatment.

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Introduction: Methadone and buprenorphine/naloxone are effective medications for people with opioid use disorder; however, interruptions in daily dosing are common and diminish the benefits of these medications. While clinical guidelines in most North American jurisdictions, including British Columbia (BC), recommend dose adjustment after treatment interruptions to varying levels of specificity, the evidence to support these recommendations is limited. We aim to estimate the comparative effectiveness of alternative dose adjustment strategies on subsequent overdose-related acute care visits and discontinuation of opioid agonist treatment in BC, Canada.

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Introduction: Higher healthcare use before recognition of adult-onset multiple sclerosis (MS) raises the possibility of earlier disease detection.

Objective: To describe common clinical pathways before a first recorded demyelinating event or MS symptom onset.

Methods: We applied multichannel state sequence analyses to generate typologies of clinical pathways using linked clinical and population-based health administrative data in British Columbia, Canada (1991-2020).

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Purpose: Improving the outcomes for high-need, high-cost (HNHC) patients requires accurately predicting who will become an HNHC patient. The objectives of this study are to: (1) develop models to predict individuals at risk of becoming future HNHC patients, and (2) compare the performance of predictive models with and without patient-reported data.

Methods: We used data from two patient-reported surveys datasets from British Columbia, Canada (inpatient and emergency department (ED) surveys) and linked administrative data.

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Purpose: Health administrative databases often contain no information on some important confounders, leading to residual confounding in the effect estimate. We aimed to explore the performance of high-dimensional disease risk score (hdDRS) to deal with residual confounding bias for estimating causal effects with survival outcomes.

Methods: We used health administrative data of 49 197 individuals in British Columbia to examine the relationship between tuberculosis infection and time-to-development of cardiovascular disease (CVD).

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Background: Observational studies of time-dependent treatments often face immortal time bias and residual confounding, complicating treatment effect estimation. We implemented a high-dimensional propensity score (hdPS) analysis within a nested case-control (NCC) framework to address both biases simultaneously.

Methods: We used a retrospective cohort of 19 360 individuals with multiple sclerosis (MS) in British Columbia, Canada, to examine the relationship between disease-modifying drugs (DMDs) and all-cause mortality.

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Background: Early recognition of multiple sclerosis (MS) remains a pivotal challenge. Little is understood about the trajectories of health care use before recognition of adult-onset MS, and the relationship of the trajectories with subsequent disability.

Methods: We accessed linked clinical and population-based health administrative data in British Columbia, Canada (1991-2020).

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Importance: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is associated with various extrahepatic manifestations (EHMs) that can significantly impact patients' quality of life and overall health outcomes.

Objective: To assess the association between successful direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment and the risk of EHMs in individuals with chronic HCV infection.

Design, Setting, And Participants: This population-based retrospective cohort study used data from 1990 to 2021, with a median follow-up of 2.

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Introduction: The authors aim to examine the modifications of the relationship between early smoking initiation and overall mortality by race/ethnicity and sex using data from U.S. adults in the 1999-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys.

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Objectives: Health administrative datasets often do not contain important clinical variables for predicting the risk of medical outcomes. However, they often contain a wide range of health-care variables that can be used to develop a high-dimensional prediction model (hdPM) that compensates for the lack of clinical predictors. We aimed to compare the predictive performance of an hdPM with a conventional model that relies only on investigator-specified clinical predictors.

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Purpose: We aim to evaluate various proxy selection methods within the context of high-dimensional propensity score (hdPS) analysis. This study aimed to systematically evaluate and compare the performance of traditional statistical methods and machine learning approaches within the hdPS framework, focusing on key metrics such as bias, standard error (SE), and coverage, under various exposure and outcome prevalence scenarios.

Methods: We conducted a plasmode simulation study using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) cycles from 2013 to 2018.

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Background: Residual confounding presents a persistent challenge in observational studies, particularly in high-dimensional settings. High-dimensional proxy adjustment methods, such as the high-dimensional propensity score (hdPS), are widely used to address confounding bias by incorporating proxies for unmeasured confounders. Extensions of hdPS have integrated machine learning, such as LASSO and super learner (SL), and doubly robust estimators, such as targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE).

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Background: Randomized controlled trials seldom assess treatment effect heterogeneity across subpopulations, potentially leading to suboptimal treatment recommendations and inefficient use of healthcare resources. Adaptive enrichment designs seek to identify patient subpopulations most likely to benefit from the treatment. This manuscript introduces BayesAET, an R package developed to support Bayesian adaptive enrichment trial designs.

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Objectives: We sought to identify groups of high-need high-cost (HNHC) patients with distinct cost trajectories and describe the sociodemographic and clinical characteristics associated with group membership.

Design: A population-based retrospective cohort study, using administrative health data.

Setting: British Columbia, Canada.

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Introduction: Due to inferior safety profile and higher risk of diversion than buprenorphine/naloxone, guidelines typically recommend stringent eligibility criteria such as daily witnessed ingestion of methadone for at least 12 weeks before considering take-home doses. Recent research has focused on whether or not to initiate take-home methadone doses, often using pandemic-era data when temporary prescribing changes provided a natural experiment on the impact of access to take-home doses. However, none of these studies adequately examined the optimal timing and criteria for safely starting take-home doses to enhance treatment outcomes.

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Introduction: High-impact chronic pain (HICP) significantly affects the quality of life for millions of U.S. adults, imposing substantial economic/healthcare burdens.

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Background: Several reproductive factors, including parity and age at menarche, have been identified as risk factors for uterine cancers. However, the association between maternal age at first birth and uterine cancer remains conflicting.

Methods: This cross-sectional study included females aged 20 years and older with at least one live birth across eight National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) cycles (2003-2018).

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Purpose: Given the historical use of limited confounders in multiple sclerosis (MS) studies utilizing administrative health data, this brief report evaluates the impact of incorporating high-dimensional proxy information on confounder adjustment in MS research. We have implemented high-dimensional propensity score (hdPS) and high-dimensional disease risk score (hdDRS) methods to assess changes in effect estimates for the association between disease-modifying drugs (DMDs) and all-cause mortality in an MS cohort from British Columbia (BC), Canada.

Methods: We conducted a population-based retrospective study using linked administrative databases from BC, including health insurance registries, demographics, physician visits, hospitalizations, prescriptions, and vital statistics.

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Background: Studies suggest that depression/anxiety form part of the multiple sclerosis (MS) prodrome. However, several biases have not been addressed. We re-examined this association after correcting for: (i) misclassification of individuals not seeking healthcare, (ii) differential surveillance of depression/anxiety in the health system, and (iii) misclassified person-time from using the date of the first MS-related diagnostic claim (i.

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Within epidemiological research, estimating treatment effects from observational data presents notable challenges. Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) emerges as a robust method, addressing these challenges by accurately modeling treatment effects. This approach uniquely combines the precision of correctly specified models with the versatility of data-adaptive, flexible machine learning algorithms.

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Article Synopsis
  • Delays in healthcare processes can lead to serious health issues, highlighting the need for better understanding of current processes through flowcharts generated from real-world data.
  • This study analyzed physician insurance claims and hospital data for patients who had carotid endarterectomy, aiming to find the reasons behind treatment delays between 2008 and 2014.
  • Results showed that each patient experienced unique treatment timelines, and while some medical activities were beneficial, others, like unnecessary follow-ups, contributed to delays in surgery, with the flowchart from the data being difficult to interpret.
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Article Synopsis
  • Multiple sclerosis (MS) often co-occurs with other health issues, but the specific relationships between these comorbidities and key MS outcomes like disability, treatment initiation, and mortality are not well understood.
  • A review of research from January 2002 to October 2023 analyzed 100 studies on this topic, considering comorbidity effects on MS outcomes with systematic data extraction and risk assessments.
  • The findings indicated that conditions like depression and epilepsy are significantly linked to increased disability and mortality in MS patients, highlighting a need for more focused research on treatment initiation related to comorbidities.
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Article Synopsis
  • Previous studies showed limited evidence on how buprenorphine versus methadone affects different groups of people using opioids, particularly with the rise of fentanyl use.
  • The study aimed to compare the risks of treatment discontinuation and mortality between individuals using buprenorphine/naloxone versus those using methadone for opioid use disorder in British Columbia from 2010 to 2020.
  • Findings revealed that users of buprenorphine/naloxone had a significantly higher likelihood of discontinuing treatment after 24 months compared to those on methadone, with 88.8% versus 81.5% discontinuing, indicating that methadone may be more effective in retaining users.
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Objectives: This study examined whether poverty (neighborhood and household) was associated with future health or life satisfaction outcomes and whether the association operated through social support (adult support at home, adult support at school, peer belonging), or differed by the immigration background (nonimmigrant family or immigrant family) of the family.

Methods: This study utilized a retrospective, longitudinal, population-based cohort that included self-reported survey data from the Middle Years Development Instrument (MDI) completed by children at age 9 and age 12, linked to administrative records. Participants included 5906 children in British Columbia, Canada.

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