Climate-denying rumor propagation in a coupled socio-climate model: Impact on average global temperature.

Individual attitudes vastly affect the transformations we are experiencing and are vital in mitigating or intensifying climate change. A socio-climate model by coupling a model of rumor dynamics in heterogeneous networks to a simple Earth System model is developed, in order to analyze how rumors about climate change impact individuals' opinions when they may choose to either believe or reject the rumors they come across over time. Our model assumes that when individuals experience an increase in the global temperature, they tend to not believe the rumors they come across.

Early warning signals for bifurcations embedded in high dimensions.

Recent work has highlighted the utility of methods for early warning signal detection in dynamic systems approaching critical tipping thresholds. Often these tipping points resemble local bifurcations, whose low dimensional dynamics can play out on a manifold embedded in a much higher dimensional state space. In many cases of practical relevance, the form of this embedding is poorly understood or entirely unknown.

Health and equity implications of individual adaptation to air pollution in a changing climate.

Future climate change can cause more days with poor air quality. This could trigger more alerts telling people to stay inside to protect themselves, with potential consequences for health and health equity. Here, we study the change in US air quality alerts over this century due to fine particulate matter (PM), who they may affect, and how they may respond.

Utilising anterolateral bladder flap to create a continent cutaneous diversion in a patient with pelvic fracture urethral injury.

A male child in the first decade of life presented to us with a history of a pelvic fracture and urethral injury resulting from a road traffic accident 4 months prior. He had previously undergone an exploratory laparotomy and suprapubic cystostomy at another medical centre. He was circumcised and exhibited a substantial urethral defect on the retrograde urethrogram, as well as on the micturating cystourethrogram.

Predicting discrete-time bifurcations with deep learning.

Many natural and man-made systems are prone to critical transitions-abrupt and potentially devastating changes in dynamics. Deep learning classifiers can provide an early warning signal for critical transitions by learning generic features of bifurcations from large simulated training data sets. So far, classifiers have only been trained to predict continuous-time bifurcations, ignoring rich dynamics unique to discrete-time bifurcations.

Clinical and Urodynamic Predictors for Failure of Medical Management with Alpha Blockers in PBNO: A Retrospective Cohort Analysis.

Objective: To evaluate the clinical and urodynamic variables that may predict the failure of alpha-blockers in primary bladder neck obstruction (PBNO) patients. Alpha-blockers are useful as a treatment option in patients with PBNO. Nonresponders need to undergo bladder neck incision (BNI).

Global beta-diversity of angiosperm trees is shaped by Quaternary climate change.

As Earth's climate has varied strongly through geological time, studying the impacts of past climate change on biodiversity helps to understand the risks from future climate change. However, it remains unclear how paleoclimate shapes spatial variation in biodiversity. Here, we assessed the influence of Quaternary climate change on spatial dissimilarity in taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional composition among neighboring 200-kilometer cells (beta-diversity) for angiosperm trees worldwide.

Universal early warning signals of phase transitions in climate systems.

The potential for complex systems to exhibit tipping points in which an equilibrium state undergoes a sudden and often irreversible shift is well established, but prediction of these events using standard forecast modelling techniques is quite difficult. This has led to the development of an alternative suite of methods that seek to identify signatures of critical phenomena in data, which are expected to occur in advance of many classes of dynamical bifurcation. Crucially, the manifestations of these critical phenomena are generic across a variety of systems, meaning that data-intensive deep learning methods can be trained on (abundant) synthetic data and plausibly prove effective when transferred to (more limited) empirical datasets.

Modelling coupled human-environment complexity for the future of the biosphere: strengths, gaps and promising directions.

Humans and the environment form a single complex system where humans not only influence ecosystems but also react to them. Despite this, there are far fewer coupled human-environment system (CHES) mathematical models than models of uncoupled ecosystems. We argue that these coupled models are essential to understand the impacts of social interventions and their potential to avoid catastrophic environmental events and support sustainable trajectories on multi-decadal timescales.

High exposure of global tree diversity to human pressure.

Safeguarding Earth's tree diversity is a conservation priority due to the importance of trees for biodiversity and ecosystem functions and services such as carbon sequestration. Here, we improve the foundation for effective conservation of global tree diversity by analyzing a recently developed database of tree species covering 46,752 species. We quantify range protection and anthropogenic pressures for each species and develop conservation priorities across taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional diversity dimensions.

Percutaneous nephrostomy in Ureteropelvic junction obstruction with poorly functioning kidney: Is it still pertinent in adults?

Objective: To determine the pertinence of percutaneous nephrostomy drainage in adult patients of primary ureteropelvic junction obstruction with poorly functioning kidneys (<20% split renal function).

Material And Methods: Clinical records of all patients with primary ureteropelvic junction obstruction with poorly functioning kidneys who underwent percutaneous nephrostomy drainage in our institute between February 2015 and January 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. The patients were divided into 4 groups according to their split renal function obtained from the Tc-99m ethylenedicysteine diuretic renogram.

Safety and efficacy of retrograde intrarenal surgery in primary and residual renal calculi in children.

Background: Minimal invasive approach is the current standard of care in the management of pediatric renal calculi. Current guidelines are clear with extra corporal shock wave lithotripsy (ESWL) and percutaneous nephrolithotomy (PCNL) for stone size less than and greater than 20 mm respectively. Although retrograde intrarenal surgery (RIRS) is well established in adults but literature on its role, safety and efficacy in children is sparsely available.

Stochasticity-induced persistence in coupled social-ecological systems.

Stochasticity is often associated with negative consequences for population dynamics since a population may die out due to random chance during periods when population size is very low (stochastic fade-out). Here we develop a coupled social-ecological model based on stochastic differential equations that includes natural expansion and harvesting of a forest ecosystem, and dynamics of conservation opinions, social norms and social learning in a human population. Our objective was to identify mechanisms that influence long-term persistence of the forest ecosystem in the presence of noise.

Local Overfishing Patterns Have Regional Effects on Health of Coral, and Economic Transitions Can Promote Its Recovery.

Overfishing has the potential to severely disrupt coral reef ecosystems worldwide, while harvesting at more sustainable levels instead can boost fish yield without damaging reefs. The dispersal abilities of reef species mean that coral reefs form highly connected environments, and the viability of reef fish populations depends on spatially explicit processes such as the spillover effect and unauthorized harvesting inside marine protected areas. However, much of the literature on coral conservation and management has only examined overfishing on a local scale, without considering how different spatial patterns of fishing levels can affect reef health both locally and regionally.

Fire mitigates bark beetle outbreaks in serotinous forests.

Bark beetle outbreaks and forest fires have imposed severe ecological damage and caused billions of dollars in lost resources in recent decades. The impact of such combined disturbances is projected to become more severe, especially as climate change takes its toll on forest ecosystems in the coming years. Here, we investigate the impact of multiple disturbances in a demographically heterogeneous tree population, using an age-structured difference equation model of bark beetle outbreaks and forest fires.

Climatic and soil factors explain the two-dimensional spectrum of global plant trait variation.

Plant functional traits can predict community assembly and ecosystem functioning and are thus widely used in global models of vegetation dynamics and land-climate feedbacks. Still, we lack a global understanding of how land and climate affect plant traits. A previous global analysis of six traits observed two main axes of variation: (1) size variation at the organ and plant level and (2) leaf economics balancing leaf persistence against plant growth potential.

Increasing cover of natural areas at smaller scales can improve the provision of biodiversity and ecosystem services in agroecological mosaic landscapes.

In agroecological mosaic landscapes, the potential of the landscape to provide a broad range of ecosystem services (ES) is vital to human well-being. Landscape structure and composition plays an important role in ecosystem functioning and the production of ES. In this study, we aim to evaluate the potential of natural land use types within an agroecological mosaic landscape to provide biodiversity and ES, and evaluate landscape scales more suitable to identify ES production.

Correction: Go big or go home: A model-based assessment of general strategies to slow the spread of forest pests via infested firewood.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.