Development and validation of a novel risk stratification signature derived from migrasome and tumor microenvironment-related genes for molecular subtyping and improving clinical outcomes in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

Background: The tumor microenvironment (TME) and migrasomes released by tumor cells significantly influence carcinogenesis and immune evasion. However, our understanding of the prognostic and therapeutic implications of migrasome and tumor microenvironment-related genes (mtmRGs) in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) remains limited.

Methods: We explored the relationship between mtmRGs and HNSCC prognosis by utilizing The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases. Subsequently, we developed an innovative prognostic signature, and assessed its prognostic significance using the Kaplan-Meier method, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), and Cox regression analyses. To explore the underlying mechanisms, we conducted gene set variation analysis (GSVA), gene set enrichment analysis (GESA), and immune infiltration analysis. A nomogram was developed to estimate the overall survival (OS) rates for HNSCC patients. Lastly, we chose P4HA1, which was part of the signature, for additional experimental validation and .

Results: The mtmRGs signature effectively classifies HNSCC patients into two distinct risk subgroups, with the high-risk cohort demonstrating significantly poorer OS. The risk score serves as an independent prognostic factor for HNSCC patients; those with lower risk scores are more likely to exhibit favorable responses to immunotherapy, particularly with CTLA4 inhibitors. Furthermore, a lower risk score is significantly correlated with the sensitivity of HNSCC patients to cyclophosphamide, gemcitabine, and axitinib.

Conclusion: This study presents an innovative gene signature associated with mtmRGs, which may be utilized both for predicting survival and directing personalized chemotherapy and immunotherapy regiments for patients with HNSCC.