[Analysis of Carbon Emission Driving Factors and Decoupling Effects in the Textile Industry of the Demonstration Zone of Green and Integrated Ecological Development of the Yangtze River Delta].

The textile industry is one of the pillar industries in the Yangtze River Delta Region and its green and low-carbon transformation is important for supporting the high-quality development of the Yangtze River Delta. Considering the demonstration zone of green and integrated ecological development of the Yangtze River Delta as an example, this integrated study was conducted on the carbon emission inventory of the textile industry, the driving factors of carbon emissions in the industry, and decoupling effects. Based on the emission factor method, the carbon emissions of Scope 1 and 2 of the textile industry in the demonstration zone were estimated. The carbon emission efficiency of the industry was analyzed using the super efficiency slack-based measure （SBM） model with unexpected outputs. Combining the LMDI factor decomposition method and Tapio decoupling analysis, the driving factors of carbon emissions in the textile industry in the demonstration zone and the decoupling situation between emissions and economic development were identified. The results indicated： ① Between 2014 and 2021, the carbon emissions of the textile industry in the demonstration zone showed a fluctuating trend, reaching the highest value in 2019 at 9.19 million tons of CO equivalent. Wujiang District was the primary emission area, with electricity, heat, and coal consumption emissions being the top three emission sources. ② The overall carbon emission efficiency of the textile industry in the demonstration zone showed an upward trend； however, significant differences were present in carbon emission efficiency between regions, with Jiashan County having considerable room for improvement in carbon emission efficiency. ③ Between 2014 and 2021, the driving factors of carbon emissions in the textile industry in various regions of the demonstration zone showed significant changes, with the level of economic development being a positive driving factor affecting carbon emissions. ④ In terms of the decoupling status between carbon emissions and economic development, the overall textile industry in the demonstration zone showed a transition from negative decoupling to decoupling status between 2014 and 2016. The research results provide a scientific basis for the future balanced development of the green and low-carbon transformation of the textile industry and the high-quality development of the economy in the demonstration zone.