Identification of a coagulation-related gene signature for predicting prognosis in recurrent glioma.

Background: Recurrent gliomas rapidly progress and have high mortality and poor prognosis in the central nervous system. Therefore, further investigation of prognostic and therapeutic markers is needed.

Methods: The mRNA expression, clinical data, and coagulation-related genes (CRGs) associated with recurrent glioma were obtained and calculated from the Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes databases. The significant CRGs were calculated by Weighted gene co-expression network analysis and PPI network. A prediction model was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis. Recurrent gliomas were stratified into high and low-risk groups based on the median risk score (RS). The Kaplan-Meier curve was used to analyze the difference in overall survival (OS) between these groups, while the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the accuracy of the gene model at 1-, 3-, and 5-years. Clinical factors, including age, gender, MGMT methylation status, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and RS, were included in the univariate and multivariate regression analysis. A prognostic nomogram and calibration curve were established based on these factors.

Results: Overall, seven CRGs associated with the prognosis were identified, including BTK, ITGB1, GNAI3, CFH, LYN, CFI, and F3. OS and survival rates were lower in the high-risk group compared with the low-risk group. The ROC curve demonstrated the area under the curve values >0.65 at 1-, 3-, and 5-years, confirming the reliability of the prognostic model. The univariate regression analysis indicated that tumor grade (grades 2, 3, and 4), histopathology (GBM or not), chemotherapy, IDH mutation, and 1p19q co-deletion status were independent prognostic indicators. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses indicated that RS was an independent prognostic factor for patients with recurrent glioma. Immune analysis revealed low infiltration of resting dendritic cells and high expression of programmed death receptor 1 in the high-risk group.

Conclusion: This study comprehensively investigated the correlation between CRGs and recurrent glioma prognosis, offering crucial insights for further research into glioma recurrence mechanisms and treatment strategies.