Predictive biomarkers for metachronous gastric cancer development after endoscopic resection of early gastric cancer.

Objectives: We aimed to identify predictive markers for metachronous gastric cancer (MGC) in early gastric cancer (EGC) patients curatively treated with endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD).

Materials And Methods: From EGC patients who underwent ESD, bulk RNA sequencing was performed on non-cancerous gastric mucosa samples at the time of initial EGC diagnosis. This included 23 patients who developed MGC, and 23 control patients without additional gastric neoplasms for over 3 years (1:1 matched by age, sex, and Helicobacter pylori infection state). Candidate differentially-expressed genes were identified, from which biomarkers were selected using real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction and cell viability assays using gastric cell lines. An independent validation cohort of 55 MGC patients and 125 controls was used for marker validation. We also examined the severity of gastric intestinal metaplasia, a known premalignant condition, at initial diagnosis.

Results: From the discovery cohort, 86 candidate genes were identified of which KDF1 and CDK1 were selected as markers for MGC, which were confirmed in the validation cohort. CERB5 and AKT2 isoform were identified as markers related to intestinal metaplasia and were also highly expressed in MGC patients compared to controls (p < 0.01). Combining these markers with clinical data (age, sex, H. pylori and severity of intestinal metaplasia) yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.91 (95% CI, 0.85-0.97) for MGC prediction.

Conclusion: Assessing biomarkers in non-cancerous gastric mucosa may be a useful method for predicting MGC in EGC patients and identifying patients with a higher risk of developing MGC, who can benefit from rigorous surveillance.