Role of Exercise Hemodynamics in the Prediction of Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension in BMPR2 Mutation Carriers.

Background: Exercise hemodynamics are recommended for early detection of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and have been suggested to be predictive of future development of PAH in high-risk populations such as BMPR2 mutation carriers. However, the optimal exercise hemodynamic screening parameter remains to be determined. Recent data suggest that pulmonary vascular distensibility (α) may serve as a useful parameter for early detection of PAH.

Research Question: What is the value of exercise hemodynamics, including α, for predicting the occurrence of PAH during long-term follow-up in BMPR2 mutation carriers?

Study Design And Methods: Fifty-two asymptomatic BMPR2 mutation carriers who underwent symptom-limited exercise hemodynamic assessment were followed up for a median of 10 years. The impact of hemodynamics at rest and exercise, presence of exercise pulmonary hypertension, and α on occurrence of PAH during long-term follow-up were assessed.

Results: During long-term follow-up, five patients developed PAH. Patients who developed PAH showed a significantly lower α (0.8 ± 0.4%/mm Hg) than patients without PAH (1.8 ± 0.8%/mm Hg; P = .008). The only hemodynamic parameter that predicted the occurrence of PAH during long-term follow-up at regression analysis was α. Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed that α ≤ 1.5%/mm Hg predicted PAH occurrence with a specificity of 75% and sensitivity of 100%.

Interpretation: The results of this study indicate that before development of PAH in BMPR2 mutation carriers, α is reduced markedly and may serve as a useful parameter in the setting of early disease detection. Given the low event rate, caution is warranted in interpreting these results, highlighting the need for validation studies.