Serum secretoneurin as a promising biomarker for predicting poor prognosis in intracerebral hemorrhage: A prospective cohort study.

Objective: Secretoneurin may play a brain-protective role. We aim to discover the relationship between serum secretoneurin levels and severity plus neurological outcome after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

Methods: In this prospective cohort study, serum secretoneurin levels were measured in 110 ICH patients and 110 healthy controls. Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and hematoma volume were used to assess stroke severity. Poor prognosis was defined as Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) scores of 1-3 at 90 days after ICH. A multivariate logistic regression model was constructed to determine independent correlation of serum secretoneurin levels with severity and poor prognosis. Under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, prognostic ability of serum secretoneurin levels was assessed. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) model and subgroups analysis were used for discovering association of serum secretoneurin levels with risk of poor prognosis. Calibration curve and decision curve were evaluated to confirm performance of nomogram.

Results: Serum secretoneurin levels of patients were significantly higher than those of healthy controls. Serum secretoneurin levels of patients were independently correlated with GCS scores and hematoma volume. There were 42 patients with poor prognosis at 90 days following ICH. Serum secretoneurin levels were significantly higher in patients with poor outcome than in those with good outcome. Under the ROC curve, serum secretoneurin levels significantly differentiated poor outcome. Serum secretoneurin levels ≥ 22.8 ng/mL distinguished patients at risk of poor prognosis at 90 days with a sensitivity of 66.2% and a specificity of 81.0%. Besides, serum secretoneurin levels independently predicted a 90-day poor prognosis. Subgroup analysis showed that serum secretoneurin levels had non-significant interactions with other variables. The nomogram, including independent prognostic predictors, showed reliable prognosis capability using calibration curve and decision curve. Area under the curve of the predictive model was significantly higher than those of GCS scores and hematoma volume.

Conclusion: Serum secretoneurin levels are strongly related to ICH severity and poor prognosis at 90 days after ICH. Thus, serum secretoneurin may be a promising prognostic biomarker in ICH.