Risk factors for failure of manipulation under anesthesia after total knee arthroplasty.

Background: Manipulation under anesthesia (MUA) is a well-established treatment for stiffness after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Risk factors for failure of MUA remain largely unknown. The primary aim of this study was to identify risk factors for failure of MUA after TKA.

Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study including 470 patients who underwent MUA after primary TKA with minimum 2 year follow-up. Patients were grouped into success (n = 412) or failure (n = 58) cohorts; failure was defined as flexion < 90° at most recent follow-up or revision for stiffness. The increase in flexion post-MUA for the cohort was calculated. Several clinical, patient, and surgical factors were analyzed using univariate, followed by multivariable logistic regression models to identify independent risk factors associated with failure.

Results: The mean increase in flexion was 42° (range 0-115). BMI 30-35 (p = 0.01, odds ratio (OR) 2.42; 95% CI 1.25-4.68) and poorer pre-MUA flexion (p < 0.01, OR 1.43; 95% CI 1.23-1.67) were risk factors for failure. When considering revision for stiffness only, BMI 30-35 (p = 0.01, OR 3.27; 95% CI 1.41-7.61), lower pre-MUA flexion (p < 0.01, OR 1.43; 95% CI 1.18-1.75), and history of prior knee surgery (p = 0.04, OR 2.31; 95% CI 1.06-5.04) were predictors of failure. Time to MUA (p = 0.48), thromboprophylaxis (p = 0.44), pre-operative opioid use (p = 0.34), depression/anxiety (p = 1.0), and several other factors analyzed were not associated with failure.

Conclusion: In this large cohort, elevated BMI and lower pre-MUA flexion were risk factors for failure of MUA. History of prior knee surgery was an additional predictor of requiring revision for stiffness.