Relationship between the severity of emphysematous change in the lung and morbidity after esophagectomy for esophageal cancer: A retrospective study on a novel strategy for risk prediction.

Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) prevalence increases post-esophagectomy morbidity. However, the association between COPD severity and post-esophagectomy morbidity remains unclear because of the lack of an objective method to classify COPD severity. Low attenuation volume ratio (LAVR) estimated using Ziostation2 may reflect the extent of emphysematous changes in the lungs and COPD severity, thereby predicting post-esophagectomy morbidity.

Methods: A total of 776 patients who underwent curative McKeown esophagectomy for esophageal cancer between April 2005 and June 2021 were included. The patients were divided into high and low preoperative LAVR groups. Short-term outcomes between the groups were compared for patients who underwent open esophagectomy (OE) and minimally invasive esophagectomy (MIE).

Results: A total of 219 (28%) patients were classified into the high LAVR group. High LAVR was significantly associated with disadvantageous patient characteristics such as advanced age, heavy smoking, and impaired respiratory function. Patients with high LAVR had a significantly higher incidence of severe morbidity and pneumonia after OE. High LAVR was an independent risk factor for severe morbidity (odds ratio [OR], 2.52; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.237-5.143; p = 0.011) and pneumonia (OR, 2.12; 95% CI: 1.003-4.493; p = 0.049) after OE. Meanwhile, LAVR was not correlated with the incidence of post-MIE morbidity.

Conclusions: LAVR may reflect COPD severity and predict severe morbidity and pneumonia after OE, but not after MIE. Less invasiveness of MIE may alleviate the effects of various disadvantageous backgrounds associated with high LAVR on worse short-term outcomes.