Utility of short-time electrocardiogram to assess risk for atrial arrhythmia recurrence: Impact of atrial premature beat occurrence 1 day after pulmonary vein isolation for atrial fibrillation.

Introduction: Atrial premature beats (APBs) are the trigger for atrial fibrillation (AF). We sought to investigate the clinical significance of APB occurrence 1 day after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) for AF using a short-time electrocardiogram.

Methods: A total of 206 patients undergoing PVI for paroxysmal AF were included. Electrocardiogram recording for 100 consecutive beats was performed 1 day after PVI. The patients were divided into two groups: those with reproducible APBs (≥1 beat) during reassessment (APB group, n = 49) or those without (non-APB group, n = 157). Late recurrence was defined as atrial tachyarrhythmia recurrence 3-12 months after PVI. The impact of APB occurrence on outcomes was investigated.

Results: Late recurrence occurred in 19 patients (9.2%). The presence of low-voltage areas, left atrial volume, and recurrence rate were higher in the APB group than in the non-APB group. In the APB group, the patients with recurrence had lower prematurity index (PI, coupling interval of APB/previous cycle length) compared to those without. Receiver-operating characteristic analysis revealed PI (<59.3) to be a predictive factor of recurrence (area under the curve: 0.733). The study subjects were then reclassified into three groups according to the absence of APB occurrence (n = 157), presence thereof with PI ≥ 59.3 (n = 33), and presence with PI < 59.3 (n = 16). The multivariate Cox models revealed that APB with PI < 59.3 was an independent predictor for recurrence (hazard ratio, 8.735; p < 0.001).

Conclusion: A short-time electrocardiogram enables risk assessment for arrhythmia recurrence, and APB with low PI 1 day after PVI is a powerful predictor.