An integrated nomogram combined semantic-radiomic features to predict invasive pulmonary adenocarcinomas in subjects with persistent subsolid nodules.

Background: Patients with persistent pulmonary subsolid nodules have a relatively high incidence of lung adenocarcinoma. Preoperative early diagnosis of invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma spectrum lesions could help avoid extensive advanced cancer management and overdiagnosis in lung cancer screening programs.

Methods: In total, 260 consecutive patients with persistent subsolid nodules ≤30 mm (n=260) confirmed by surgical pathology were retrospectively investigated from February 2016 to August 2020 at the Kaohsiung Veterans General Hospital. All patients underwent surgical resection within 3 months of the chest CT exam. The study subjects were divided into a training cohort (N=195) and a validation cohort (N=65) at a ratio of 3:1. The purpose of our study was to develop and validate a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-derived nomogram integrating semantic-radiomic features in differentiating preinvasive and invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma lesions, and compare its predictive value with clinical-semantic, semantic, and radiologist's performance.

Results: In the training cohort of 195 subsolid nodules, 106 invasive lesions and 89 preinvasive lesions were identified. We developed a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-derived combined nomogram prediction model based on six predictors (nodular size, CTR, roundness, GLCM_Entropy_log10, HISTO_Entropy_log10, and CONVENTIONAL_Humean) to predict the invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma lesions. Compared with other predictive models, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-derived model showed better diagnostic performance with an area under the curve of 0.957 (95% CI: 0.918 to 0.981) for detecting invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma lesions with balanced sensitivity (92.45%) and specificity (88.64%). The results of Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed P values of 0.394 and 0.787 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, indicating good calibration power.

Conclusions: We developed a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-derived model integrating semantic-radiomic features with good calibration. This nomogram may help physicians to identify invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma lesions for guidance in personalized medicine and make more informed decisions on managing subsolid nodules.