Article Synopsis

  • The rapid growth of mega-constellations, like Starlink, poses serious risks to ground-based astronomy, Earth's orbit, and the upper atmosphere due to increased satellite debris and pollution.
  • Current regulations fail to address the interconnectedness of Earth's environment and space, leading to potential hazards like untracked debris causing frequent collisions in orbit.
  • A collective international effort and stronger regulatory framework are essential to manage the effects of tens of thousands of satellites and mitigate these environmental and safety risks.

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Article Abstract

The rapid development of mega-constellations risks multiple tragedies of the commons, including tragedies to ground-based astronomy, Earth orbit, and Earth's upper atmosphere. Moreover, the connections between the Earth and space environments are inadequately taken into account by the adoption of a consumer electronic model applied to space assets. For example, we point out that satellite re-entries from the Starlink mega-constellation alone could deposit more aluminum into Earth's upper atmosphere than what is done through meteoroids; they could thus become the dominant source of high-altitude alumina. Using simple models, we also show that untracked debris will lead to potentially dangerous on-orbit collisions on a regular basis due to the large number of satellites within mega-constellation orbital shells. The total cross-section of satellites in these constellations also greatly increases the risk of impacts due to meteoroids. De facto orbit occupation by single actors, inadequate regulatory frameworks, and the possibility of free-riding exacerbate these risks. International cooperation is urgently needed, along with a regulatory system that takes into account the effects of tens of thousands of satellites.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8137964PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-89909-7DOI Listing

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