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Survey questionnaires were administered among populations affected by Super Typhoon Yolanda in the Philippines in 2013 and Hurricane Maria in Dominica in 2017 to test the efficacy of early warning systems in prompting residents to take appropriate action ahead of severe hazards. Both events were rare and extreme but occurred in locations that regularly experience less severe tropical cyclones. The research assessed if, how, and when residents received warnings, what instructions were given, and where and when people decided to seek safety. In both of the cases under review, residents were aware of the approaching storms, but critical information on their severity and potential impacts was either not received in time or not understood fully, resulting in low levels of evacuation and safety-seeking behaviour. This paper suggests that planning and public communication need to focus on the uncertainty surrounding the severity and multifaceted nature of tropical cyclones and accompanying hazards and their consequences.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/disa.12434 | DOI Listing |
Camb Prism Coast Futur
December 2024
Geoscience Australia, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.
Tropical cyclones can significantly impact mangrove forests, with some recovering rapidly, whilst others may change permanently. Inconsistent approaches to quantifying these impacts limit the capacity to identify patterns of damage and recovery across landscapes and cyclone categories. Understanding these patterns is critical as the changing frequency and intensity of cyclones and compounding effects of climate change, particularly sea-level rise, threaten mangroves and their ecosystem services.
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August 2025
Hydrography Research Group, Faculty of Earth Sciences and Technology, Bandung Institute of Technology (ITB), Bandung, Indonesia.
Predicting tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is challenging, involving numerous variables and uncertainty, especially for TC with rapid intensification (RI). One of the frequently used operational methods for such a case relies on statistical-dynamical models subjected to several limitations stemming from linear regression approximation to a complex TC system. This study proposes a new approach using a Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) to overcome the limitations attributed to the conventional models.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFEnviron Monit Assess
August 2025
Institute of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, University of the Philippines Los Baños, College, Laguna, Philippines.
Philippine coral reefs have significantly declined over the past 40 years, resulting in reduced coral cover and shifts in the composition of associated organisms. While research on offshore reef systems often focuses on benthic habitat cover and reef fish, limited information remains on post-disturbance macroinvertebrate communities at a local scale. This study examines the impacts of two tropical cyclones on benthic macroinvertebrate communities in Apo Reef Natural Park (ARNP), Philippines.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFLancet Planet Health
August 2025
Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland.
Background: The climate crisis is increasingly recognised as a health crisis, driven in part by the growing frequency and intensity of climate-related hazards, such as heatwaves and wildfires. These hazards can coincide, potentially leading to compound impacts. However, little is known about where and how often such combinations occur globally.
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August 2025
School of Geosciences, University of South Florida, Tampa, USA.
During a hurricane, it is vital that individuals receive communications that are easy to process and provide sufficient information to allow informed hurricane preparedness decisions and prevent loss of life. We study how different hurricane warning scales, the traditional Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (SSHWS) versus the newly developed Tropical Cyclone Severity Scale (TCSS), impact intent to evacuate and understanding of hurricane severity. We use a between-subject design where participants are assigned to either the traditional SSHWS or the new TCSS scale.
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