Publications by authors named "Raphael O Anyango"

Background: Understanding the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 infection in settings with limited data, especially given the dynamic nature of the virus and the reported epidemiological heterogeneity across countries, is important. We used data from the COVID-19 Vaccine effectiveness evaluation to determine factors associated with SARS-COV-2 infection among patients (≥ 12 years) with severe respiratory illness (SRI) in Kenya and Mali.

Methods: SRI was defined as acute onset (≤ 14 days) of at least two of the following: cough, fever, chills, rigors, myalgia, headache, sore throat, fatigue, congestion or runny nose, loss of taste or smell, or pneumonia diagnosis.

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Background: Mortality attributed to respiratory illnesses is well characterized in children <5 years. However, there is paucity of data among older populations. Here, we leveraged data from the COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness Evaluation to establish the factors associated with mortality among patients with severe respiratory illness (SRI) in Kenya and Mali.

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Background: Despite the adverse health outcomes associated with longer duration diarrhea (LDD), there are currently no clinical decision tools for timely identification and better management of children with increased risk. This study utilizes machine learning (ML) to derive and validate a predictive model for LDD among children presenting with diarrhea to health facilities.

Methods: LDD was defined as a diarrhea episode lasting ≥ 7 days.

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Article Synopsis
  • * A machine learning approach was applied using data from the VIDA and EFGH-Shigella studies in rural Kenya to create predictive models for LGF among children aged 6-35 months, encompassing 65 potential predictors including demographic and health-related factors.
  • * The models showed a prevalence of LGF at 16.9% and 22.4% in different cohorts, with the gradient boosting model providing the best prediction accuracy, demonstrating its usefulness in identifying at-risk children for targeted healthcare interventions
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Background: Although is an important cause of diarrhea in Kenyan children, robust research platforms capable of conducting incidence-based estimates and eventual targeted clinical trials are needed to improve -related outcomes in children. Here, we describe characteristics of a disease surveillance platform whose goal is to support incidence and consequences of diarrhea as part of multicounty surveillance aimed at preparing sites and assembling expertise for future vaccine trials.

Methods: We mobilized our preexisting expertise in shigellosis, vaccinology, and diarrheal disease epidemiology, which we combined with our experience conducting population-based sampling, clinical trials with high (97%-98%) retention rates, and healthcare utilization surveys.

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