Publications by authors named "Matti Marklund"

Background: In 2018, the Philippines implemented a tax on sugar-sweetened beverages. A broader tax on unhealthy foods is being considered. We aimed to estimate the effect of a tax on unhealthy packaged foods.

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Introduction: The high burden of blood pressure-related cardiovascular diseases in Bangladesh is potentially caused by excessive dietary sodium and insufficient potassium intake. Our objective is to estimate dietary salt and potassium intake among Bangladesh rural and urban adults from urinary excretion of sodium and potassium.

Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study between December 2017 and June 2018, including participants aged 30-59 years from three urban and three rural sites in Bangladesh.

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Fiscal food policies can be used, among others, to minimize the burden of diet-related diseases. To inform the design of such policies in Australia, we used the large grocery-purchasing dataset NielsenIQ Homescan to estimate own-price elasticities and cross-price elasticities for 18 food categories. We found that households were most responsive to changes in price for non-sugar-sweetened beverages and sugar-sweetened beverages: a 10% increase in price was associated with reductions in demand of 15% and 12%, respectively.

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Financial incentives have been used extensively in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) to improve health and service coverage. Little is known about their effectiveness in improving hypertension outcomes. We conducted a narrative literature review to document features of select supply-side (pay-for-performance, capitation) and demand-side [conditional cash transfers (CCT), vouchers] financing interventions focused on improving hypertension outcomes in primary care settings.

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Objectives: To estimate the effects of procurement reforms and extended prescription duration on medication coverage for hypertension in India's public health system.

Design: Simulation study incorporating data from governmental medication price lists, prescription pattern analyses, and market sales surveys.

Setting: Simulated hypothetical public healthcare facility in India treating 1000 patients with hypertension.

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Background: Intake of trans-fatty acids (TFAs) is an established risk factor for cardiovascular disease. In April 2023, Nigeria passed regulations limiting TFA content in foods, fats, and oils, but the current level of TFA exposure in the Nigerian population is unknown.

Objectives: To quantify trans-fatty acid (TFA) biomarkers in dried blood spots from Nigerian adults in the Federal Capital Territory before policy enforcement, establish baseline levels for future evaluations, assess subgroup variations by demographic and socioeconomic factors, and compare TFA levels with data from 30 countries worldwide.

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Background: Excess dietary sodium is a leading cause of death and disability globally. Because packaged foods are a major source of sodium in many countries, including Australia, mandatory limits for sodium might improve population health. We aimed to estimate the long-term health and economic effect of mandating such thresholds in Australia.

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Background: Excess dietary sodium intake has been associated with death and disability. WHO has released global sodium benchmarks for packaged foods to support countries to reduce population sodium intake. This study aimed to assess the potential health effect, costs, and cost effectiveness of implementing these WHO sodium benchmarks in India.

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Article Synopsis
  • The study investigates the relationship between different types of n-6 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs), especially linoleic acid (LA), and mortality rates from various causes in a large UK Biobank cohort of over 257,000 individuals.
  • Findings indicate that higher levels of LA are linked to reduced total mortality risk, while higher levels of non-LA n-6 PUFAs are associated with increased mortality risk, particularly from non-cardiovascular and non-cancer causes.
  • The research emphasizes that LA and non-LA n-6 PUFAs should not be treated the same when evaluating health impacts, highlighting the importance of maintaining or increasing LA intake for better health outcomes.
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Article Synopsis
  • - Nigeria aims to limit industrial trans fatty acids (iTFA) in food to improve public health, specifically targeting ischaemic heart disease (IHD), but the impact and costs are unclear.
  • - Using Markov cohort models, researchers estimated that a mandatory iTFA limit would prevent nearly 10,000 IHD deaths and save around $90 million in healthcare costs over the first decade.
  • - The analysis suggests that implementing this policy is cost-effective and could lead to significant health benefits, supporting the idea of regulating iTFAs as a beneficial health strategy for Nigeria.
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The Salt Substitute and Stroke Study (SSaSS) demonstrated significant reductions in systolic blood pressure (SBP), and the risk of stroke, major cardiovascular events and total mortality with the use of potassium-enriched salt. The contribution of sodium reduction versus potassium increase to these effects is unknown. We identified four different data sources describing the association between sodium reduction, potassium supplementation and change in SBP.

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Article Synopsis
  • The study examined the relationship between omega-3 PUFAs and stroke risk across 29 global cohorts, focusing on total, ischemic, and hemorrhagic strokes.
  • Results showed that higher levels of eicosapentaenoic acid reduced the incidence of total and ischemic strokes by 17% and 18%, respectively, while docosahexaenoic acid also lowered these risks by 12% and 14%.
  • The findings indicate that although higher omega-3 PUFA levels are linked to reduced total and ischemic stroke risks, there is no effect on hemorrhagic strokes.
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Background: It is unknown whether dietary intake of polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) modifies the cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk associated with a family history of CVD. We assessed interactions between biomarkers of low PUFA intake and a family history in relation to long-term CVD risk in a large consortium.

Methods: Blood and tissue PUFA data from 40 885 CVD-free adults were assessed.

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Objectives: To model the potential health gains and cost-effectiveness of a mandatory limit of industrial trans fatty acids (iTFA) in Kenyan foods.

Design: Multiple cohort proportional multistate life table model, incorporating existing data from the Global Burden of Disease study, pooled analyses of observational studies and peer-reviewed evidence of healthcare and policy implementation costs.

Setting: Kenya.

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Background: Few simulation models have incorporated the interplay of diabetes, obesity, and cardiovascular disease (CVD); their upstream lifestyle and biological risk factors; and their downstream effects on health disparities and economic consequences.

Methods: We developed and validated a US Diabetes, Obesity, Cardiovascular Disease Microsimulation (DOC-M) model that incorporates demographic, clinical, and lifestyle risk factors to jointly predict overall and racial-ethnic groups-specific obesity, diabetes, CVD, and cause-specific mortality for the US adult population aged 40 to 79 y at baseline. An individualized health care cost prediction model was further developed and integrated.

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Article Synopsis
  • - Fiscal policies like taxes on sugary drinks can effectively combat non-communicable diseases, which are the leading cause of death worldwide, by encouraging healthier eating habits.
  • - Taxes on unhealthy foods, if well-structured, may lead to broader dietary improvements across populations, but require solid evidence to support their implementation.
  • - The article emphasizes the need for detailed national data on diets and food pricing to model the impacts of food taxes, with the Philippines as a case study to inform future policy design.
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Background: Postsecondary education institutions, where hundreds of millions of people work and study globally, are a key setting for retail food environment interventions.

Objective: We aimed to synthesize the evidence for the effectiveness of retail food environment interventions in improving the healthiness of dietary behavior of students and staff in postsecondary education settings.

Methods: Academic databases were searched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and quasi-experimental studies published until August 2023.

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Background: The relationship between omega-3 fatty acids and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains controversial.

Objectives: This study aimed to determine the prospective associations of blood or adipose tissue levels of eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA), docosapentaenoic acid (DPA), and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) with incident AF.

Methods: We used participant-level data from a global consortium of 17 prospective cohort studies, each with baseline data on blood or adipose tissue omega-3 fatty acid levels and AF outcomes.

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Background: Mycoprotein is a fungal source of protein that is increasingly consumed as an ingredient in meat analogs.

Objectives: This study aimed to systematically review and meta-analyze the effects of mycoprotein intake on selected biomarkers of human health.

Methods: This study was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42022308980).

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Background: The worldwide control rate for hypertension is dismal. An inadequate number of physicians to treat patients with hypertension is one key obstacle. Innovative health system approaches such as delegation of basic tasks to non-physician health workers (task-sharing) might alleviate this problem.

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Introduction: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to review the relationship between midlife dyslipidemia and lifetime incident dementia.

Methods: The databases Medline, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane were searched from inception to February 20, 2022. Longitudinal studies examining the relationship between midlife lipid levels on dementia, dementia subtypes, and/or cognitive impairment were pooled using inverse-variance weighted random-effects meta-analysis.

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Background: It is unclear whether moderate differences in dietary carbohydrate quantity and quality influence plasma FAs in the lipogenic pathway in healthy adults.

Objectives: We investigated the effects of different carbohydrate quantities and quality on plasma palmitate concentrations (primary outcome) and other saturated and MUFAs in the lipogenic pathway.

Methods: Twenty healthy participants were randomly assigned, and 18 (50% women; age: 22-72 y; BMI: 18.

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In most African countries, the prevalence of industrially produced -fatty acids (iTFA) in the food supply is unknown. We estimated the number and proportion of products containing specific (any hydrogenated edible oils) and non-specific (vegetable fat, margarine, and vegetable cream) ingredients potentially indicative of iTFAs among pre-packaged foods collected in Kenya and Nigeria. We also summarized the number and proportion of products that reported -fatty acids levels and the range of reported -fatty acids levels.

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Article Synopsis
  • - The study evaluated how different omega-3 fatty acids, especially from seafood and plants, relate to the risk of developing chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a large pooled analysis of 19 studies from around the world, up to May 2020.
  • - Among 25,570 participants followed for an average of 11.3 years, 19.3% developed CKD, with higher seafood-derived omega-3 levels linked to a lower risk of CKD, while plant-derived omega-3s showed no significant association.
  • - The findings suggested that higher consumption of seafood omega-3s could lead to a 13% reduction in the risk of CKD, but plant-based sources like alpha-linolenic
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Background: In 2021, the World Health Organization (WHO) set sodium benchmarks for packaged foods to guide countries in setting feasible and effective sodium reformulation programs. We modeled the dietary and health impact of full compliance with the WHO's sodium benchmarks in Australia and compared it to the potential impact of Australia's 2020 sodium reformulation targets.

Methods: We used nationally representative data on food and sodium intake, sodium levels in packaged foods, and food sales volume to estimate sodium intake pre- and post-implementation of the WHO and Australia's sodium benchmarks for 24 age-sex groups.

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