Estimating the undetected infections in the Monkeypox outbreak.

While the number of detected Monkeypox infections are widely available, an understanding of the extent of undetected cases is urgently needed for an effective tackling of its spread. The aim of this study is to estimate the true number of Monkeypox (detected and undetected) infections in most affected countries. The question being asked is: How many cases have actually occurred? We propose a lower bound estimator for the true number of Monkeypox cases.

Natural History of Ulcerative Colitis with Coexistent Colonic Diverticulosis.

Ulcerative colitis (UC) and colonic diverticulosis can co-exist in some patients. However, the natural history of UC associated with colonic diverticulosis is not well known. We here compared the disease characteristics and outcome of UC patients with and without concomitant colonic diverticulosis.

Respiratory Tract Infections in Inflammatory Bowel Disease Patients Taking Vedolizumab: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has raised concerns about the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) and patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) taking immunosuppressants or biologics. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the risk of respiratory infections in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) treated with vedolizumab. We searched PubMed, EMBASE and Scopus to identify randomized controlled trials (RCT) comparing vedolizumab to placebo in patients with IBD.

Effect of Vedolizumab on Anemia of Chronic Disease in Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Diseases.

Background: Anemia of Chronic Disease (ACD) can negatively influence the clinical course of Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of Vedolizumab on ACD in IBD.

Methods: Clinical data of 75 IBD patients (25 Crohn's disease (CD) and 50 Ulcerative Colitis (UC)) receiving Vedolizumab in a tertiary referral IBD center were retrospectively evaluated and the effect of the drug on ACD was ascertained at weeks 14 and 24.

Estimating the undetected infections in the Covid-19 outbreak by harnessing capture-recapture methods.

Objectives: A major open question, affecting the decisions of policy makers, is the estimation of the true number of Covid-19 infections. Most of them are undetected, because of a large number of asymptomatic cases. We provide an efficient, easy to compute and robust lower bound estimator for the number of undetected cases.

Upper bound estimators of the population size based on ordinal models for capture-recapture experiments.

Capture-recapture studies have attracted a lot of attention over the past few decades, especially in applied disciplines where a direct estimate for the size of a population of interest is not available. Epidemiology, ecology, public health, and biodiversity are just a few examples. The estimation of the number of unseen units has been a challenge for theoretical statisticians, and considerable progress has been made in providing lower bound estimators for the population size.

Extent of Mucosal Inflammation in Ulcerative Colitis Influences the Clinical Remission Induced by Vedolizumab.

Randomized controlled clinical trials and real-life observations indicate that less than 50% of patients with Crohn's disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) respond to vedolizumab, a humanized monoclonal antibody that blocks the α4β7 integrin. Since α4β7-expressing lymphocytes mainly infiltrate the left colon, we assessed whether localization of CD and UC influences vedolizumab-induced remission. One hundred and eighty-one patients (74 CD and 107 UC) receiving vedolizumab in 3 referral centers were retrospectively evaluated for clinical remission at week 14.

A flexible ratio regression approach for zero-truncated capture-recapture counts.

Capture-recapture methods are used to estimate the size of a population of interest which is only partially observed. In such studies, each member of the population carries a count of the number of times it has been identified during the observational period. In real-life applications, only positive counts are recorded, and we get a truncated at zero-observed distribution.

Modeling delay to diagnosis for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: under reporting and incidence estimates.

Background: This paper provides a strategy to obtain a reliable estimate of the incidence rate for Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis based on data from the National Registry of Rare Diseases (NRRD). In fact, unobserved cases may be due to the fact that "a long time" may intercour between the suspect of having the disease (onset) and the date the disease is diagnosed. Potential factors that may influence the probability of experiencing the event (diagnosis) conditionally on the onset (suspected) are investigated.