Publications by authors named "David I Armstrong McKay"

The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked, yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they are often treated independently. Here, we use modelling and literature assessment to quantify safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for climate, the biosphere, water and nutrient cycles, and aerosols at global and subglobal scales. We propose ESBs for maintaining the resilience and stability of the Earth system (safe ESBs) and minimizing exposure to significant harm to humans from Earth system change (a necessary but not sufficient condition for justice).

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Article Synopsis
  • Climate tipping points happen when climate changes reach a threshold, causing further changes that significantly impact the Earth system.
  • Research indicates a revised list of global and regional tipping elements with their respective temperature thresholds.
  • Current warming (about 1.1°C) is already near lower tipping point thresholds, and if temperatures rise to 1.5 to 3°C, several tipping points may be triggered, highlighting the need for urgent climate action and improved risk assessment.
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Article Synopsis
  • We are facing a serious problem with climate change and how humans are affecting nature, which could lead to big, harmful changes in our environment.
  • Some scientists are trying to help ecosystems that are in danger, but many people still don’t understand how urgent this is.
  • The article talks about using satellites to track the health of plants and ecosystems over time to see if they are getting better or worse, which can help in making better decisions to protect our planet.
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Agricultural intensification has significantly increased yields and fed growing populations across the planet, but has also led to considerable environmental degradation. In response an alternative process of 'Sustainable Intensification' (SI), whereby food production increases while environmental impacts are reduced, has been advocated as necessary, if not sufficient, for delivering food and environmental security. However, the extent to which SI has begun, the main drivers of SI, and the degree to which degradation is simply 'offshored' are uncertain.

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Most paleo-episodes of ocean acidification (OA) were either too slow or too small to be instructive in predicting near-future impacts. The end-Cretaceous event (66 Mya) is intriguing in this regard, both because of its rapid onset and also because many pelagic calcifying species (including 100% of ammonites and more than 90% of calcareous nannoplankton and foraminifera) went extinct at this time. Here we evaluate whether extinction-level OA could feasibly have been produced by the asteroid impact.

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