Publications by authors named "Daniel R Morales"

Background: The electronic frailty index (eFI) was developed in older adults (aged ≥65 years). There are currently no validated frailty scores in clinical practice for younger adults (aged 18-64 years). The aim of this study was to examine whether the eFI score in younger adults had similar or different associations with adverse health outcomes compared with older adults.

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Amid the global COVID-19 pandemic, vaccines were conditionally authorized for human use to protect against severe infection. The Benefit Risk Assessment of VaccinEs (BRAVE) toolkit, a user-friendly R Shiny application, was developed retrospectively together with the European Medicine Agency (EMA) with the aim of fulfilling the need for flexible tools to assess vaccine benefits and risks during and outside a pandemic situation. This study employed BRAVE to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 mRNA vaccines across 30 European Union (EU)/EEA countries by quantifying the number of prevented clinical events [i.

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Objective: Medical laboratory data together with prescribing and hospitalisation records are three of the most used electronic health records (EHRs) for data-driven health research. In Scotland, hospitalisation, prescribing and the death register data are available nationally whereas laboratory data is captured, stored and reported from local health board systems with significant heterogeneity. For researchers or other users of this regionally curated data, working on laboratory datasets across regional cohorts requires effort and time.

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Background: Measurement of multimorbidity, the co-occurrence of two or more conditions in the same individual, is highly variable which limits the consistency and reproducibility of research.

Methods: Using data from 172,563 UK Biobank (UKB) participants and a cross-sectional approach, we examined how choice of data source affected estimated prevalence of 80 individual long-term conditions (LTCs) and multimorbidity. We developed code-list-based algorithms to determine the prevalence of 80 LTCs in (1) primary care records, (2) UKB baseline assessment, (3) hospital/cancer registry records, and (4) all three data sources together.

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Objective: To assess the association between glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) use and risk of incident thyroid tumors.

Research Design And Methods: The retrospective, active-comparator new-user cohort study used international administrative claims and electronic health record databases. Participants included patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) with prior metformin therapy initiating a GLP-1RA versus new users of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2is), dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP-4is), and sulfonylureas (SUs).

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Background: As prescribing of newer antihyperglycemic agents expands, there remains limited comparative safety data for older adults-a population particularly vulnerable to adverse drug events and underrepresented in clinical trials. We aimed to evaluate the real-world safety of second-line antihyperglycemic agents among older adults with type 2 diabetes.

Methods: We conducted a multinational cohort study using nine harmonized electronic health record and claims databases from the U.

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Background: Several COVID-19 vaccines have been licensed. To support the assessment of safety signals, we developed a toolkit to support COVID-19 vaccine monitoring and benefit-risk assessment. We aim to show the application of our toolkit in the EU using thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS) associated with the Vaxzevria (AstraZeneca) vaccine as a use case.

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Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) prevalence is rising due to population ageing and comorbidity is an increasing problem. The aim of this study was to examine the prevalence and association of coexisting health conditions among adults with AF in the general population.

Methods: Cross-sectional analysis of Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) primary care electronic medical records in England linked to hospital admissions as of 30 November 2015.

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Background: Fluoroquinolones (FQs) are commonly used to treat urinary tract infections (UTIs), but some studies have suggested they may increase the risk of aortic aneurysm or dissection (AA/AD). However, no large-scale international study has thoroughly assessed this risk.

Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using a large, distributed network analysis across 14 databases from 5 countries (United States, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and Australia).

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Objectives: The Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership common data model (OMOP-CDM) is a useful tool for large-scale network analysis but currently lacks a structured approach to pregnancy episodes. We aimed to develop and implement a perinatal expansion for the OMOP-CDM to facilitate perinatal network research.

Methods: We collaboratively developed a perinatal expansion with input from domain experts and stakeholders to reach consensus.

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Background: Depression is associated with a range of adverse physical health outcomes. We aimed to quantify the association between depression and the subsequent rate of accrual of long-term physical health conditions in middle and older age.

Methods And Findings: We included 172,556 participants from the UK Biobank (UKB) cohort study, aged 40-71 years old at baseline assessment (2006-2010), who had linked primary care data available.

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Background: Clinical guideline development preferentially relies on evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs). RCTs are gold-standard methods to evaluate the efficacy of treatments with the highest internal validity but limited external validity, in the sense that their findings may not always be applicable to or generalizable to clinical populations or population characteristics. The external validity of RCTs for the clinical population is constrained by the lack of tailored epidemiological data analysis designed for this purpose due to data governance, consistency of disease or condition definitions, and reduplicated effort in analysis code.

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Objective: Medical laboratory data together with prescribing and hospitalisation records are three of the most used electronic health records (EHRs) for data-driven health research. In Scotland, hospitalisation, prescribing and the death register data are available nationally whereas laboratory data is captured, stored and reported from local health board systems with significant heterogeneity. For researchers or other users of this regionally curated data, working on laboratory datasets across regional cohorts requires effort and time.

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Drug development for children presents unique challenges and is highly regulated. Novel approaches, such as the use of extrapolation to address, for example, the need to avoid unethical studies, whilst supporting robust evidence generation have been developed in support of benefit/risk considerations by regulatory authorities. This is only one step in the decision-making process towards access, which in Europe also includes health technology assessment (HTA) bodies.

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Article Synopsis
  • This study compares the cardiovascular effectiveness of different second-line antihyperglycemic agents (SGLT2 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, DPP-4 inhibitors, and sulfonylureas) in patients with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease.
  • Using data from over 1.4 million patients across multiple databases, the researchers analyzed the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) over a follow-up period of several years.
  • Results indicated that SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists had significantly lower risks of MACE compared to DPP-4 inhibitors and sulfonylureas, pointing to their potential superiority as treatment options for
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  • This study investigates treatment patterns for Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) in both adults and children, highlighting the lack of real-world data on medication use, particularly in childhood-onset SLE (cSLE).
  • Researchers analyzed data from over 11,000 SLE patients across multiple European countries, finding that the majority were female, with specific first-line treatments being hydroxychloroquine and glucocorticoids for both demographics.
  • The findings indicate that while adult treatment aligns with guidelines, the high use of glucocorticoids in children suggests a need for alternatives and specialized treatment recommendations for pediatric patients.
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Purpose: The European Medicines Agency's (EMA) Pharmacovigilance Risk Assessment Committee (PRAC) launched a strategy to examine the public health impact of major regulatory interventions aimed at minimising risks of medicinal products. We conducted a lessons learnt analysis of impact studies completed between 2015 and 2023.

Methods: We surveyed PRAC Sponsors and (Co-)Rapporteurs involved in the evaluation of 12 impact studies (10 commissioned by EMA and 2 conducted collaboratively by Member States) to explore how these support regulatory decision-making.

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Objectives: To quantify prevalence, harms, and NHS costs in England of problematic oral non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) prescribing in high risk groups.

Design: Population based cohort and economic modelling study.

Setting: Economic models estimating patient harm associated with NSAID specific hazardous prescribing events, and cost to the English NHS, over a 10 year period, were combined with trends of hazardous prescribing event to estimate national levels of patient harm and NHS costs.

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Objective: To investigate risks of multiple adverse outcomes associated with use of antipsychotics in people with dementia.

Design: Population based matched cohort study.

Setting: Linked primary care, hospital and mortality data from Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD), England.

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Article Synopsis
  • Norway and Sweden's different early pandemic responses affected how mental health care was managed during COVID-19, highlighting variations in medication usage and hospitalization rates.
  • Analyses of national registries revealed immediate reductions in medication prescriptions and hospitalizations in Norway, while Sweden saw differing trends, particularly in outpatient visits.
  • The study concluded that the early policy responses to the pandemic likely influenced the mental health care dynamics in both countries.
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Background: Clinical guidelines commonly recommend preventative treatments for people above a risk threshold. Therefore, decision-makers must have faith in risk prediction tools and model-based cost-effectiveness analyses for people at different levels of risk. Two problems that arise are inadequate handling of competing risks of death and failing to account for direct treatment disutility (i.

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Article Synopsis
  • * The study analyzed data from over 1.4 million patients treated with various second-line diabetes medications, using advanced statistical methods to compare outcomes and risks of heart issues.
  • * Findings indicated that both SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists reduce the risk of cardiovascular events compared to DPP-4 inhibitors and sulfonylureas, but no significant differences were found between SGLT2is and GLP1-RAs themselves regarding heart risks.
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Article Synopsis
  • The study aimed to evaluate the adoption of second-line antihyperglycaemic medications among type 2 diabetes patients using metformin, analyzing data from 10 US and 7 international health databases.
  • A total of 4.8 million participants were included, focusing on the trends in initiating additional diabetes treatments over the years 2011 to 2021.
  • Results showed significant growth in the use of cardioprotective drugs (like GLP-1 receptor agonists and SGLT2 inhibitors) as second-line options, with initiation rates varying widely across countries and databases.
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Background: Concerns have been raised that antipsychotic drug prescribing, which has been associated with increased mortality in people with dementia, might have increased during the COVID-19 pandemic due to social restrictions imposed to limit the spread of SARS-CoV-2. We used multisource, routinely collected health-care data from Wales, UK to investigate prescribing and mortality variations in people with dementia before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we used individual-level, anonymised, population-scale linked health data to identify adults aged 60 years and older with a diagnosis of dementia in Wales, UK.

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Background: Prediction of lifetime cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk is recommended in many clinical guidelines, but lifetime risk models are rarely externally validated. The aim of this study was to externally validate the QRiskLifetime incident CVD risk prediction tool.

Methods: Independent external validation of QRiskLifetime using Clinical Practice Research Datalink data, examining discrimination and calibration in the whole population and stratified by age, and reclassification compared to QRISK3.

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