Publications by authors named "Cesar Capinha"

Recent efforts have compiled distribution data on peatlands in the Iberian Peninsula. However, the criteria used to define these ecosystems have often been derived from regions where climates are wetter and peatlands are more widespread. As a result, in this region, many peat-accumulating wetlands were overlooked.

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Biological invasions are one of the major drivers of biodiversity decline and have been shown to have far-reaching consequences for society and the economy. Preventing the introduction and spread of alien species represents the most effective solution to reducing their impacts on nature and human well-being. However, implementing effective solutions requires a good understanding of where the species are established and how biological invasions develop over time.

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Biological invasions alter ecosystems by disrupting ecological processes that can degrade biodiversity, harm human health, and cause massive economic burdens. Existing frameworks to classify the ecological impacts either miss many types of impact or conflate mechanisms (causes) with the impacts themselves (consequences). We propose a comprehensive typology of 19 types of ecological impact across six levels of ecological organisation.

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The diverse biotas of the world's mountains face a challenging future due to increasing threats like climate change, land-use change, and biological invasions, the last being particularly understudied in these regions. Here we compile occurrence records for 717 alien vertebrate species distributed in 2984 mountains worldwide. We analyze their distribution, biogeographic origin, presence in protected areas, and the drivers' explaining alien vertebrate richness in mountains.

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Broadleaf water milfoil () is an emerging invasive alien plant in Europe, and thus a priority for European Union (EU)-level surveillance, monitoring, and eradication. This species is native to North America and threatens aquatic ecosystems by creating dense stands that can fill an entire water body, leading to high economic costs and the loss of native biodiversity. Although its presence in Portugal is not reported, the species has already been established in several European countries, including neighboring Spain.

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Spores from the fungus are commonly found on Azorean pastures. When consumed by cattle along with the grass, these spores cause health issues in the cattle, resulting in animal suffering and financial losses. For approximately two years, we monitored meteorological parameters using weather stations and collected and analyzed grass samples in a laboratory to control for the presence of spores.

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Article Synopsis
  • Long-term observational data is scarce, limiting the prediction of ecological variations using traditional statistical or machine-learning methods.
  • A new framework utilizes citizen-science data and machine-learning to model ecological observations based on environmental conditions, enhancing prediction accuracy.
  • This approach demonstrates the potential of using citizen-science data for real-time predictions of ecological events across large areas, making it accessible for ecologists and practitioners.
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The ecological impact of non-native species arises from their establishment in local assemblages. However, the rates of non-native spread in new regions and their determinants have not been comprehensively studied. Here, we combined global databases documenting the occurrence of non-native species and residence of non-native birds, mammals, and vascular plants at regional and local scales to describe how the likelihood of non-native occurrence and their proportion in local assemblages relate with their residence time and levels of human usage in different ecosystems.

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The Anthropocene is characterized by a rapid pace of environmental change and is causing a multitude of biotic responses, including those that affect the spatial distribution of species. Lagged responses are frequent and species distributions and assemblages are consequently pushed into a disequilibrium state. How the characteristics of environmental change-for example, gradual 'press' disturbances such as rising temperatures due to climate change versus infrequent 'pulse' disturbances such as extreme events-affect the magnitude of responses and the relaxation times of biota has been insufficiently explored.

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Urbanization is an important driver of global change associated with a set of environmental modifications that affect the introduction and distribution of invasive non-native species (species with populations transported by humans beyond their natural biogeographic range that established and are spreading in their introduced range; hereafter, invasive species). These species are recognized as a cause of large ecological and economic losses. Nevertheless, the economic impacts of these species in urban areas are still poorly understood.

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Each year, hundreds of scientific works with species' geographical data are published. However, these data can be challenging to identify, collect, and integrate into analytical workflows due to differences in reporting structures, storage formats, and the omission or inconsistency of relevant information and terminology. These difficulties tend to be aggravated for non-native species, given varying attitudes toward non-native species reporting and the existence of an additional layer of invasion-related terminology.

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Article Synopsis
  • This study analyzes global data on non-native species across five groups (ants, birds, mammals, spiders, and vascular plants) to see how land use affects their presence in local environments.
  • It finds that primary vegetation tends to have the lowest levels of non-native species, although some other land-use types also show low occurrences.
  • The research suggests that highly used land can lead to more non-native species, while untouched primary areas help protect native biodiversity and resist invasions.
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As the number of introduced species keeps increasing unabatedly, identifying and prioritising current and potential Invasive Alien Species (IAS) has become essential to manage them. Horizon Scanning (HS), defined as an exploration of potential threats, is considered a fundamental component of IAS management. By combining scientific knowledge on taxa with expert opinion, we identified the most relevant aquatic IAS in the Iberian Peninsula, i.

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Our ability to predict the spread of alien species is largely based on knowledge of previous invasion dynamics of individual species. However, in view of the large and growing number of alien species, understanding universal spread patterns common among taxa but specific to regions would considerably improve our ability to predict future dynamics of biological invasions. Here, using a comprehensive dataset of years of first record of alien species for four major biological groups (birds, nonmarine fishes, insects, and vascular plants), we applied a network approach to uncover frequent sequential patterns of first recordings of alien species across countries worldwide.

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Article Synopsis
  • - The Aedes aegypti mosquito, linked to diseases like dengue and yellow fever, was first reported on Madeira Island in 2005 and caused a dengue outbreak between 2012 and 2013, affecting thousands of people.
  • - This study evaluates the current and future distribution of the mosquito on the island based on climatic and human factors, using various modeling techniques to achieve accurate predictions.
  • - Findings suggest that current suitable habitats are primarily in warm, populated coastal areas, with projections indicating a shift to more areas, including higher altitudes, by the mid-century, highlighting the need to address climate change in pest management strategies.
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Article Synopsis
  • Invasive herpetofauna (amphibians and reptiles) have caused significant ecological, economic, and health issues globally, leading to a total cost of approximately 17.0 billion USD from 1986 to 2020.
  • The majority of these costs were linked to just two species, the brown tree snake and the American bullfrog, while costs for other invasive species were minimal and underreported.
  • The study highlights that most cost-related data comes from predictions rather than actual observations, indicating a need for more focused research on the impacts of invasive herpetofauna, especially in regions like Oceania and Europe where the costs are highest.
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Biological invasions have emerged as one of the main drivers of biodiversity change and decline, and numbers of species classed as alien in parts of their ranges are rapidly rising. The European Union established a dedicated regulation to limit the impacts of invasive alien species (IAS), which is focused on the species on a Union List of IAS of particular concern. However, no previous study has specifically addressed the ecology of invasive alien mammals included on the Union List.

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Humans have moved species away from their native ranges since the Neolithic, but globalization accelerated the rate at which species are being moved. We fitted more than half million distribution models for 610 traded bird species on the CITES list to examine the separate and joint effects of global climate and land-cover change on their potential end-of-century distributions. We found that climate-induced suitability for modelled invasive species increases with latitude, because traded birds are mainly of tropical origin and much of the temperate region is 'tropicalizing.

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The first case of COVID-19 in continental Portugal was documented on the 2nd of March 2020 and about seven months later more than 75 thousand infections had been reported. Although several factors correlate significantly with the spatial incidence of COVID-19 worldwide, the drivers of spatial incidence of this virus remain poorly known and need further exploration. In this study, we analyse the spatiotemporal patterns of COVID-19 incidence in the at the municipality level and test for significant relationships between these patterns and environmental, socioeconomic, demographic and human mobility factors to identify the mains drivers of COVID-19 incidence across time and space.

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Article Synopsis
  • * The proposed framework uses four geopolitical storylines based on trade barriers and law enforcement to analyze and predict bird trade patterns, leveraging historical data for accuracy.
  • * To mitigate wildlife trade risks, it’s essential to reduce demand for wildlife and address global inequality, while the framework can guide policy and legislative efforts in this area.
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Invasive alien species (IAS) are a major driver of global biodiversity loss, hampering conservation efforts and disrupting ecosystem functions and services. While accumulating evidence documented ecological impacts of IAS across major geographic regions, habitat types and taxonomic groups, appraisals for economic costs remained relatively sparse. This has hindered effective cost-benefit analyses that inform expenditure on management interventions to prevent, control, and eradicate IAS.

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Large volumes of data are becoming increasingly available and can be very valuable for the analysis of different phenomena. These data can originate from multiple sources and be recorded in diverse formats, requiring preliminary scrutiny in order to be further used in scientific analyses. This first crucial phase of filtering and cleansing data is usually a cumbersome and time-consuming task, but automated routines can be developed to help researchers.

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The Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus), a vector of dengue, Zika and other diseases, was introduced in Europe in the 1970s, where it is still widening its range. Spurred by public health concerns, several studies have delivered predictions of the current and future distribution of the species for this region, often with differing results. We provide the first joint analysis of these predictions, to identify consensus hotspots of high and low suitability, as well as areas with high uncertainty.

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We contend that the exclusive focus on the English language in scientific research might hinder effective communication between scientists and practitioners or policy makers whose mother tongue is non-English. This barrier in scientific knowledge and data transfer likely leads to significant knowledge gaps and may create biases when providing global patterns in many fields of science. To demonstrate this, we compiled data on the global economic costs of invasive alien species reported in 15 non-English languages.

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