Switching from controlled to assisted mechanical ventilation: a multi-center retrospective study (SWITCH).

Background: Switching from controlled to assisted ventilation is crucial in the trajectory of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, but no guidelines exist. We described current practices, analyzed patient characteristics associated with switch success or failure, and explored the feasibility to predict switch failure.

Methods: In this retrospective study, we obtained highly granular longitudinal ICU data sets from three medical centers, covering demographics, severity scores, vital signs, ventilation, and laboratory parameters. The primary endpoint was switch success, considering a switch attempt to be successful if a patient did not return to controlled ventilation for the next 72 h while alive, and to be failed otherwise. We compared the characteristics of patients with successful vs. failed first switch attempts at ICU admission, immediately before, and 3 h after the attempt. We trained LASSO logistic regression models to predict switch failure.

Results: In 4524/6715 (67%) patients attempting a switch, the first attempt failed. The first switch attempt, regardless of success or failure, was generally made at normalized PaCO and pH levels, with PEEP < 10 cmHO and PaO/FiO indicating mild injury. Despite very similar baseline disease severity, switch failure was associated with significantly worse outcomes, including a 28-day mortality of 27% vs. 16% and median ventilator-free days of 16 vs. 22 (p < 0.001). Failed attempts were initiated significantly earlier than successful ones (median 1.8 vs. 1.3 days, p < 0.001). Before the switch, PaO/FiO, if measured at PEEP > 10 cmHO, and respiratory system compliance was lower in patients with switch failure (median 185 vs. 205 mmHg, p < 0.001; 39 vs. 41 mL/cmHO, P = 0.001), and post-switch, patients with switch failure experienced greater deterioration in gas exchange and minimal improvement in ventilatory parameters post-switch. Contrary to our hypotheses, patient characteristics for failed vs. successful switches were surprisingly similar, resulting in prediction models with limited discriminative performance.

Conclusions: Approximately two-thirds of attempts to switch patients to assisted ventilation fail, which are associated with significantly worse clinical outcomes, despite similar baseline disease severity. Contrary to our hypotheses, patients with successful and failed attempts showed similar characteristics, making switch failure difficult to predict. These findings underscore the importance of preventing switch failures and, given the retrospective nature of this study, highlight the need for prospective studies to better understand the reasons for switch failure and when spontaneous breathing can be safely initiated.