Genomic signature for oligometastatic disease in non-small cell lung cancer patients with brain metastases.

Purpose/objectives: Biomarkers for extracranial oligometastatic disease remain elusive and few studies have attempted to correlate genomic data to the presence of true oligometastatic disease.

Methods: Patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and brain metastases were identified in our departmental database. Electronic medical records were used to identify patients for whom liquid biopsy-based comprehensive genomic profiling (Guardant Health) was available. Extracranial oligometastatic disease was defined as patients having ≤5 non-brain metastases without diffuse involvement of a single organ. Widespread disease was any spread beyond oligometastatic. Fisher's exact tests were used to screen for mutations statistically associated (p<0.1) with either oligometastatic or widespread extracranial disease. A risk score for the likelihood of oligometastatic disease was generated and correlated to the likelihood of having oligometastatic disease vs widespread disease. For oligometastatic patients, a competing risk analysis was done to assess for cumulative incidence of oligometastatic progression. Cox regression was used to determine association between oligometastatic risk score and oligoprogression.

Results: 130 patients met study criteria and were included in the analysis. 51 patients (39%) had extracranial oligometastatic disease. Genetic mutations included in the Guardant panel that were associated (p<0.1) with the presence of oligometastatic disease included ATM, JAK2, MAP2K2, and NTRK1, while ARID1A and CCNE1 were associated with widespread disease. Patients with a positive, neutral and negative risk score for oligometastatic disease had a 78%, 41% and 11.5% likelihood of having oligometastatic disease, respectively (p<0.0001). Overall survival for patients with positive, neutral and negative risk scores for oligometastatic disease was 86% vs 82% vs 64% at 6 months (p=0.2). Oligometastatic risk score was significantly associated with the likelihood of oligoprogression based on the Wald chi-square test. Patients with positive, neutral and negative risk scores for oligometastatic disease had a cumulative incidence of oligometastatic progression of 77% vs 35% vs 33% at 6 months (p=0.03).

Conclusions: Elucidation of a genomic signature for extracranial oligometastatic disease derived from non-invasive liquid biopsy appears feasible for NSCLC patients. Patients with this signature exhibited higher rates of early oligoprogression. External validation could lead to a biomarker that has the potential to direct local therapies in oligometastatic patients.