Sputum bacterial microbiota signature as a surrogate for predicting disease progression of nontuberculous mycobacterial lung disease.

Objectives: Predicting progression of nontuberculous mycobacterial lung disease (NTM-LD) remains challenging. This study evaluated whether sputum bacterial microbiome diversity can be the biomarker and provide novel insights into related phenotypes and treatment timing.

Methods: We analyzed 126 sputum microbiomes of 126 patients with newly diagnosed NTM-LD due to Mycobacterium avium complex, M. abscessus complex, and M. kansasii between May 2020 and December 2021. Patients were followed for 2 years to determine their disease progression status. We identified consistently representative genera that differentiated the progressor and nonprogressor by using six methodologies. These genera were used to construct a prediction model using random forest with five-fold cross validation.

Results: Disease progression occurred in 49 (38.6%) patients. Compared with nonprogressors, α-diversity was lower in the progressors. Significant compositional differences existed in the β-diversity between groups (P = 0.001). The prediction model for NTM-LD progression constructed using seven genera (Burkholderia, Pseudomonas, Sphingomonas, Candidatus Saccharibacteria, Phocaeicola, Pelomonas, and Phascolarctobacterium) with significantly differential abundance achieved an area under curve of 0.871.

Conclusion: Identification of the composition of sputum bacterial microbiome facilitates prediction of the course of NTM-LD, and maybe used to develop precision treatment involving modulating the respiratory microbiome composition to ameliorate NTM-LD.