Association of current substance use treatment with future reduced methamphetamine use in an observational cohort of men who have sex with men in Los Angeles.

Introduction: Methamphetamine use is highly prevalent among men who have sex with men (MSM), but knowledge of the long-term dynamics, and how they are affected by substance use treatment, is limited. This study aimed to describe trajectories of methamphetamine use among MSM, and to evaluate the impact of treatment for any kind of substance use on frequency of methamphetamine use.

Methods: This analysis used data from a cohort of MSM in Los Angeles, CA, who participated in semi-annual study visits from 2014 to 2022. The study characterized trajectories of methamphetamine use using a continuous time multistate Markov model with three states. States were defined using self-reported frequency of methamphetamine use in the past six months: frequent (daily), occasional (weekly or less), and never. The model estimated the association between receiving treatment for any kind of substance use and changes in state of frequency of methamphetamine use.

Results: This analysis included 2348 study visits among 285 individuals who were followed-up for an average of 4.4 years. Among participants who were in the frequent use state, 65 % (n = 26) of those who were receiving any kind of substance use treatment at a study visit had reduced their methamphetamine use at their next visit, compared to 33 % (n = 95) of those who were not receiving treatment. Controlling for age, race/ethnicity, and HIV-status, those who reported receiving current treatment for substance use were more likely to transition from occasional to no use (HR: 1.63, 95 % CI: 1.10-2.42) and frequent to occasional use (HR: 4.25, 95 % CI: 2.11-8.59) in comparison to those who did not report receiving current treatment for substance use.

Conclusions: Findings from this dynamic modeling study provide a new method for assessing longitudinal methamphetamine use outcomes and add important evidence outside of clinical trials that substance use treatment may reduce methamphetamine use.