Machine learning-based classification of circadian rhythm characteristics for mild cognitive impairment in the elderly.

Introduction: Using wrist-wearable sensors to ecological transient assessment may provide a more valid assessment of physical activity, sedentary time, sleep and circadian rhythm than self-reported questionnaires, but has not been used widely to study the association with mild cognitive impairment and their characteristics.

Methods: 31 normal cognitive ability participants and 68 MCI participants were monitored with tri-axial accelerometer and nocturnal photo volumetric pulse wave signals for 14 days. Two machine learning algorithms: gradient boosting decision tree and eXtreme gradient boosting were constructed using data on daytime physical activity, sedentary time and nighttime physiological functions, including heart rate, heart rate variability, respiratory rate and oxygen saturation, combined with subjective scale features. The accuracy, precision, recall, F1 value, and AUC of the different models are compared, and the training and model effectiveness are validated by the subject-based leave-one-out method.

Results: The low physical activity state was higher in the MCI group than in the cognitively normal group between 8:00 and 11:00 ( < 0.05), the daily rhythm trend of the high physical activity state was generally lower in the MCI group than in the cognitively normal group ( < 0.05). The peak rhythms in the sedentary state appeared at 12:00-15:00 and 20:00. The peak rhythms of rMSSD, HRV high frequency output power, and HRV low frequency output power in the 6h HRV parameters at night in the MCI group disappeared at 3:00 a.m., and the amplitude of fluctuations decreased; the amplitude of fluctuations of LHratio nocturnal rhythm increased and the phase was disturbed; the oxygen saturation was between 90 and 95% and less than 90% were increased in all time periods ( < 0.05). The F1 value of the two machine learning algorithms for MCI classification of multi-feature data combined with subjective scales were XGBoost (78.02) and GBDT (84.04).

Conclusion: By collecting PSQI Scale data combined with circadian rhythm characteristics monitored by wrist-wearable sensors, we are able to construct XGBoost and GBDT machine learning models with good discrimination, thus providing an early warning solution for identifying family and community members with high risk of MCI.