How Effective is the Use of Molecular Testing in Preoperative Decision Making for Management of Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules?

Introduction: We performed Thyroseq v2 molecular testing on indeterminate thyroid nodules and evaluated whether they underwent a management change from the standard of thyroid lobectomy.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of all indeterminate thyroid nodules that underwent Thyroseq v2 molecular testing from 2014 to 2019 at a large academic center. Pathology was reviewed by thyroid cytopathologists. Thyroseq results were reported benign (malignancy probability less than 10%) or suspicious (malignancy probability greater than 30%). The primary endpoint was a management change from a diagnostic lobectomy.

Results: A total of 142 nodules were included: 113 (80%) Bethesda III and 29 (20%) Bethesda IV. Seventy-three nodules underwent surgical management and 69 did not. We noted a change in management in 64% (91/142) of nodules. Patients who underwent a change in management to no surgery had a significantly higher rate of benign Thyroseq result than those without a change (75.8% vs. 49.0%, p = 0.001). On logistic regression analysis, a benign Thyroseq result was a positive independent predictor of a change to no surgery (OR 3.87, 95% CI 1.69-8.89). Nodule size, multiple nodules, compressive symptoms, and history of hypothyroidism were not significant. Of the 91 patients who underwent a management change, 71% (65/91) did not undergo surgery. On follow-up (average 985 ± 615 days), 12% (8/65) of those nodules were growing or developed suspicious features requiring surgery.

Conclusions: Molecular testing helped avoid surgery in almost half our population with indeterminate thyroid nodules, and benign results may help avoid surgery in asymptomatic patients with indeterminate thyroid nodules.