FGF23-Klotho Axis and Fractures in Patients Without and With Early CKD: A Case-Cohort Analysis of CARTaGENE.

Context: Whether fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF23) and α-Klotho are associated with fractures, especially in chronic kidney disease (CKD), remains controversial.

Objective: We evaluated how FGF23, α-Klotho, and traditional mineral parameters predict fractures in individuals with and without early CKD.

Methods: We conducted a stratified case-cohort analysis using CARTaGENE, a population-based survey from Quebec, Canada. Individuals aged 40 to 69 years were selected according to outcome and CKD status (non-CKD: eGFR > 60 mL/min/1.73 m2; CKD stage 3: eGFR 30-60 mL/min/1.73 m2]). Baseline levels of c-terminal FGF23 (cFGF23), α-Klotho, parathyroid hormone (PTH), phosphate, and calcium were analyzed for associations with osteoporotic fracture incidence from recruitment (2009-2010) through March 2016. Adjusted Cox models were used, and predictors were treated linearly or flexibly using splines.

Results: A total of 312 patients (159 non-CKD; 153 CKD) were included; 98 had ≥ 1 fracture at any site during a median follow up of 70 months. Compared with non-CKD, CKD patients had increased levels of cFGF23 but similar levels of α-Klotho. cFGF23 was linearly associated with increased fracture incidence (adjusted HR = 1.81 [1.71, 1.93] per doubling for all participants). The association of α-Klotho with fracture followed a U-curve (overall P = 0.019) but was attenuated by adjustment for potential mediators (bone mineral density, phosphate, PTH). PTH and phosphate also had U-shaped associations with fracture. Associations were mostly similar between non-CKD and CKD. Adjustment for cFGF23 strongly attenuated the association between CKD status and fractures.

Conclusion: cFGF23 is associated linearly with fracture incidence while α-Klotho, PTH, and phosphate levels have a U-shaped association.