First-Phase Ejection Fraction Predicts Response to Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy and Adverse Outcomes.

Objectives: The aim of this study was to examine the value of first-phase ejection fraction (EF1), to predict response to cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) and clinical outcomes after CRT.

Background: CRT is an important treatment for patients with chronic heart failure. However, even in carefully selected cases, up to 40% of patients fail to respond. EF1, the ejection fraction up to the time of maximal ventricular contraction, is a novel sensitive echocardiographic measure of early systolic function and might relate to response to CRT.

Methods: An initial retrospective study was performed in 197 patients who underwent CRT between 2009 and 2018 and were followed to determine clinical outcomes at King's Health Partners in London. A validation study (n = 100) was performed in patients undergoing CRT at Barts Heart Centre in London.

Results: Volumetric response rate (reduction in end-systolic volume ≥15%) was 92.3% and 12.1% for those with EF1 in the highest and lowest tertiles (P < 0.001). A cutoff value of 11.9% for EF1 had >85% sensitivity and specificity for prediction of response to CRT; on multivariate binary logistic regression analysis incorporating previously defined predictors, EF1 was the strongest predictor of response (odds ratio [OR]: 1.56 per 1% change in EF1; 95% CI: 1.37-1.78; P < 0.001). EF1 was also the strongest predictor of improvement in clinical composite score (OR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04-1.19; P = 0.001). Improvement in EF1 at 6 months after CRT implantation (6.5% ± 5.8% vs 1.8% ± 4.3% in responders vs nonresponders; P < 0.001) was the best predictor of heart failure rehospitalization and death after median follow-up period of 20.3 months (HR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.73-0.90; P < 0.001). In the validation cohort, EF1 was a similarly 1strong predictor of response (OR: 1.45; 95% CI: 1.23-1.70; P < 0.001) as in the original cohort.

Conclusions: EF1 is a promising marker to identify patients likely to respond to CRT.