Highlights of Model Quality Assessment in CASP16.

Model quality assessment (MQA) remains a critical component of structural bioinformatics for both structure predictors and experimentalists seeking to use predictions for downstream applications. In CASP16, the Evaluation of Model Accuracy (EMA) category featured both global and local quality estimation for multimeric assemblies (QMODE1 and QMODE2), as well as a novel QMODE3 challenge-requiring predictors to identify the best five models from thousands generated by MassiveFold. This paper presents detailed results from several leading CASP16 EMA methods, highlighting the strengths and limitations of the approaches.

Prediction and quality assessment of protein quaternary structure models using the MultiFOLD2 and ModFOLDdock2 servers.

Understanding the structures of protein complexes is pivotal for breakthroughs in health, agriculture, bioengineering, and beyond. MultiFOLD2 and ModFOLDdock2 are leading servers for protein quaternary structure prediction and model quality assessment, respectively. MultiFOLD2 includes integrated stoichiometry prediction for quaternary structures and improved sampling and scoring, leading to high performance in continuous independent benchmarks such as CAMEO.

Inter-platelet communication driving thrombus formation is regulated by extracellular calpain-1 cleavage of connexin 62.

Connexin (Cx) gap junction proteins are expressed by a multitude of cells and function as plasma membrane hemichannels or dock to form intercellular communication tunnels. Whilst Cx43 has garnered considerable attention, less is known about the structure and function of Cx62 channels. Platelets and megakaryocytes express Cx37, Cx40 and Cx62, which contribute to hemostatic and thrombotic responses.

Improvement of protein tertiary and quaternary structure predictions using the ReFOLD refinement method and the AlphaFold2 recycling process.

Motivation: The accuracy gap between predicted and experimental structures has been significantly reduced following the development of AlphaFold2 (AF2). However, for many targets, AF2 models still have room for improvement. In previous CASP experiments, highly computationally intensive MD simulation-based methods have been widely used to improve the accuracy of single 3D models.

Estimation of model accuracy in CASP15 using the ModFOLDdock server.

In CASP15, there was a greater emphasis on multimeric modeling than in previous experiments, with assembly structures nearly doubling in number (41 up from 22) since the previous round. CASP15 also included a new estimation of model accuracy (EMA) category in recognition of the importance of objective quality assessment (QA) for quaternary structure models. ModFOLDdock is a multimeric model QA server developed by the McGuffin group at the University of Reading, which brings together a range of single-model, clustering, and deep learning methods to form a consensus of approaches.

Prediction of protein structures, functions and interactions using the IntFOLD7, MultiFOLD and ModFOLDdock servers.

The IntFOLD server based at the University of Reading has been a leading method over the past decade in providing free access to accurate prediction of protein structures and functions. In a post-AlphaFold2 world, accurate models of tertiary structures are widely available for even more protein targets, so there has been a refocus in the prediction community towards the accurate modelling of protein-ligand interactions as well as modelling quaternary structure assemblies. In this paper, we describe the latest improvements to IntFOLD, which maintains its competitive structure prediction performance by including the latest deep learning methods while also integrating accurate model quality estimates and 3D models of protein-ligand interactions.

Using Local Protein Model Quality Estimates to Guide a Molecular Dynamics-Based Refinement Strategy.

The refinement of predicted 3D models aims to bring them closer to the native structure by fixing errors including unusual bonds and torsion angles and irregular hydrogen bonding patterns. Refinement approaches based on molecular dynamics (MD) simulations using different types of restraints have performed well since CASP10. ReFOLD, developed by the McGuffin group, was one of the many MD-based refinement approaches, which were tested in CASP 12.

ReFOLD3: refinement of 3D protein models with gradual restraints based on predicted local quality and residue contacts.

ReFOLD3 is unique in its application of gradual restraints, calculated from local model quality estimates and contact predictions, which are used to guide the refinement of theoretical 3D protein models towards the native structures. ReFOLD3 achieves improved performance by using an iterative refinement protocol to fix incorrect residue contacts and local errors, including unusual bonds and angles, which are identified in the submitted models by our leading ModFOLD8 model quality assessment method. Following refinement, the likely resulting improvements to the submitted models are recognized by ModFOLD8, which produces both global and local quality estimates.

ModFOLD8: accurate global and local quality estimates for 3D protein models.

Methods for estimating the quality of 3D models of proteins are vital tools for driving the acceptance and utility of predicted tertiary structures by the wider bioscience community. Here we describe the significant major updates to ModFOLD, which has maintained its position as a leading server for the prediction of global and local quality of 3D protein models, over the past decade (>20 000 unique external users). ModFOLD8 is the latest version of the server, which combines the strengths of multiple pure-single and quasi-single model methods.

Methods for the Refinement of Protein Structure 3D Models.

The refinement of predicted 3D protein models is crucial in bringing them closer towards experimental accuracy for further computational studies. Refinement approaches can be divided into two main stages: The sampling and scoring stages. Sampling strategies, such as the popular Molecular Dynamics (MD)-based protocols, aim to generate improved 3D models.

IntFOLD: an integrated web resource for high performance protein structure and function prediction.

The IntFOLD server provides a unified resource for the automated prediction of: protein tertiary structures with built-in estimates of model accuracy (EMA), protein structural domain boundaries, natively unstructured or disordered regions in proteins, and protein-ligand interactions. The component methods have been independently evaluated via the successive blind CASP experiments and the continual CAMEO benchmarking project. The IntFOLD server has established its ranking as one of the best performing publicly available servers, based on independent official evaluation metrics.