Estimation of demography and mutation rates from one million haploid genomes.

As genetic sequencing costs have plummeted, datasets with sizes previously unthinkable have begun to appear. Such datasets present opportunities to learn about evolutionary history, particularly via rare alleles that record the very recent past. However, beyond the computational challenges inherent in the analysis of many large-scale datasets, large population-genetic datasets present theoretical problems.

On forensic likelihood ratios from low-coverage sequencing.

Advances in sequencing technology are allowing forensic scientists to access genetic information from increasingly challenging samples. A recently published computational approach, IBDGem, analyzes sequencing reads, including from low-coverage samples, in order to arrive at likelihood ratios for human identification. Here, we show that likelihood ratios produced by IBDGem are best interpreted as testing a null hypothesis different from the traditional one used in a forensic genetics context.

Mathematical bounds on r and the effect size in case-control genome-wide association studies.

Case-control genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are often used to find associations between genetic variants and diseases. When case-control GWAS are conducted, researchers must make decisions regarding how many cases and how many controls to include in the study. Connections between variants and diseases are made using association statistics, including χ.

A likelihood-based framework for demographic inference from genealogical trees.

The demographic history of a population underlies patterns of genetic variation and is encoded in the gene-genealogical trees of the sampled haplotypes. Here we propose a demographic inference framework called the genealogical likelihood (gLike). Our method uses a graph-based structure to summarize the relationships among all lineages in a gene-genealogical tree with all possible trajectories of population memberships through time and derives the full likelihood across trees under a parameterized demographic model.

Evaluating ARG-estimation methods in the context of estimating population-mean polygenic score histories.

Scalable methods for estimating marginal coalescent trees across the genome present new opportunities for studying evolution and have generated considerable excitement, with new methods extending scalability to thousands of samples. Benchmarking of the available methods has revealed general tradeoffs between accuracy and scalability, but performance in downstream applications has not always been easily predictable from general performance measures, suggesting that specific features of the ancestral recombination graph (ARG) may be important for specific downstream applications of estimated ARGs. To exemplify this point, we benchmark ARG estimation methods with respect to a specific set of methods for estimating the historical time course of a population-mean polygenic score (PGS) using the marginal coalescent trees encoded by the ARG.

Error rates in QST-FST comparisons depend on genetic architecture and estimation procedures.

Genetic and phenotypic variation among populations is one of the fundamental subjects of evolutionary genetics. One question that arises often in data on natural populations is whether differentiation among populations on a particular trait might be caused in part by natural selection. For the past several decades, researchers have used QST-FST approaches to compare the amount of trait differentiation among populations on one or more traits (measured by the statistic QST) with differentiation on genome-wide genetic variants (measured by FST).

A Litmus Test for Confounding in Polygenic Scores.

Polygenic scores (PGSs) are being rapidly adopted for trait prediction in the clinic and beyond. PGSs are often thought of as capturing the direct genetic effect of one's genotype on their phenotype. However, because PGSs are constructed from population-level associations, they are influenced by factors other than direct genetic effects, including stratification, assortative mating, and dynastic effects ("SAD effects").

Mathematical bounds on and the effect size in case-control genome-wide association studies.

Case-control genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are often used to find associations between genetic variants and diseases. When case-control GWAS are conducted, researchers must make decisions regarding how many cases and how many controls to include in the study. Depending on differing availability and cost of controls and cases, varying case fractions are used in case-control GWAS.

An Agent-Based Model of Metabolic Signaling Oscillations in Biofilms.

Microbes of nearly every species can form biofilms, communities of cells bound together by a self-produced matrix. It is not understood how variation at the cellular level impacts putatively beneficial, colony-level behaviors, such as cell-to-cell signaling. Here we investigate this problem with an agent-based computational model of metabolically driven electrochemical signaling in biofilms.

Error rates in - comparisons depend on genetic architecture and estimation procedures.

Genetic and phenotypic variation among populations is one of the fundamental subjects of evolutionary genetics. One question that arises often in data on natural populations is whether differentiation among populations on a particular trait might be caused in part by natural selection. For the past several decades, researchers have used approaches to compare the amount of trait differentiation among populations on one or more traits (measured by the statistic ) with differentiation on genome-wide genetic variants (measured by ).

Estimation of demography and mutation rates from one million haploid genomes.

As genetic sequencing costs have plummeted, datasets with sizes previously un-thinkable have begun to appear. Such datasets present new opportunities to learn about evolutionary history, particularly via rare alleles that record the very recent past. However, beyond the computational challenges inherent in the analysis of many large-scale datasets, large population-genetic datasets present theoretical problems.

On forensic likelihood ratios from low-coverage sequencing.

Advances in sequencing technology are allowing forensic scientists to access genetic information from increasingly challenging samples. A recently published computational approach, IBDGem, analyzes sequencing reads, including from low-coverage samples, in order to arrive at likelihood ratios for human identification. Here, we show that likelihood ratios produced by IBDGem are best interpreted as testing a null hypothesis different from the traditional one used in a forensic genetics context.

Evaluating ARG-estimation methods in the context of estimating population-mean polygenic score histories.

Scalable methods for estimating marginal coalescent trees across the genome present new opportunities for studying evolution and have generated considerable excitement, with new methods extending scalability to thousands of samples. Benchmarking of the available methods has revealed general tradeoffs between accuracy and scalability, but performance in downstream applications has not always been easily predictable from general performance measures, suggesting that specific features of the ARG may be important for specific downstream applications of estimated ARGs. To exemplify this point, we benchmark ARG estimation methods with respect to a specific set of methods for estimating the historical time course of a population-mean polygenic score (PGS) using the marginal coalescent trees encoded by the ancestral recombination graph (ARG).

Unifying approaches from statistical genetics and phylogenetics for mapping phenotypes in structured populations.

In both statistical genetics and phylogenetics, a major goal is to identify correlations between genetic loci or other aspects of the phenotype or environment and a focal trait. In these two fields, there are sophisticated but disparate statistical traditions aimed at these tasks. The disconnect between their respective approaches is becoming untenable as questions in medicine, conservation biology, and evolutionary biology increasingly rely on integrating data from within and among species, and once-clear conceptual divisions are becoming increasingly blurred.

Tree-based QTL mapping with expected local genetic relatedness matrices.

Understanding the genetic basis of complex phenotypes is a central pursuit of genetics. Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) are a powerful way to find genetic loci associated with phenotypes. GWASs are widely and successfully used, but they face challenges related to the fact that variants are tested for association with a phenotype independently, whereas in reality variants at different sites are correlated because of their shared evolutionary history.

Heritability within groups is uninformative about differences among groups: cases from behavioral, evolutionary, and statistical genetics.

Without the ability to control or randomize environments (or genotypes), it is difficult to determine the degree to which observed phenotypic differences between two groups of individuals are due to genetic vs. environmental differences. However, some have suggested that these concerns may be limited to pathological cases, and methods have appeared that seem to give-directly or indirectly-some support to claims that aggregate heritable variation within groups can be related to heritable variation among groups.

A likelihood-based framework for demographic inference from genealogical trees.

The demographic history of a population drives the pattern of genetic variation and is encoded in the gene-genealogical trees of the sampled alleles. However, existing methods to infer demographic history from genetic data tend to use relatively low-dimensional summaries of the genealogy, such as allele frequency spectra. As a step toward capturing more of the information encoded in the genome-wide sequence of genealogical trees, here we propose a novel framework called the genealogical likelihood (gLike), which derives the full likelihood of a genealogical tree under any hypothesized demographic history.

Microsatellites used in forensics are in regions enriched for trait-associated variants.

The 20 short tandem repeat (STR) loci of the combined DNA index system (CODIS) are the basis of the vast majority of forensic genetics in the United States. One argument for permissive rules about the collection of CODIS genotypes is that the CODIS loci are thought to contain little information about ancestry or traits. However, in the past 20 years, a growing field has identified hundreds of thousands of genotype-trait associations.

Amplification is the primary mode of gene-by-sex interaction in complex human traits.

Sex differences in complex traits are suspected to be in part due to widespread gene-by-sex interactions (GxSex), but empirical evidence has been elusive. Here, we infer the mixture of ways in which polygenic effects on physiological traits covary between males and females. We find that GxSex is pervasive but acts primarily through systematic sex differences in the magnitude of many genetic effects ("amplification") rather than in the identity of causal variants.

Tree-based QTL mapping with expected local genetic relatedness matrices.

Understanding the genetic basis of complex phenotypes is a central pursuit of genetics. Genome-wide Association Studies (GWAS) are a powerful way to find genetic loci associated with phenotypes. GWAS are widely and successfully used, but they face challenges related to the fact that variants are tested for association with a phenotype independently, whereas in reality variants at different sites are correlated because of their shared evolutionary history.

Microsatellites used in forensics are located in regions unusually rich in trait-associated variants.

The 20 short tandem repeat (STR) markers of the combined DNA index system (CODIS) are the basis of the vast majority of forensic genetics in the United States. One argument for permissive rules about the collection of CODIS genotypes is that the CODIS markers are thought to contain information relevant to identification only (such as a human fingerprint would), with little information about ancestry or traits. However, in the past 20 years, a quickly growing field has identified hundreds of thousands of genotype-trait associations.

Gattaca as a lens on contemporary genetics: marking 25 years into the film's "not-too-distant" future.

The 1997 film Gattaca has emerged as a canonical pop culture reference used to discuss modern controversies in genetics and bioethics. It appeared in theaters a few years prior to the announcement of the "completion" of the human genome (2000), as the science of human genetics was developing a renewed sense of its social implications. The story is set in a near-future world in which parents can, with technological assistance, influence the genetic composition of their offspring on the basis of predicted life outcomes.