Hybrid Bayesian deep learning model for predicting urban heat island intensity in African cities.

Urban Heat Islands (UHIs), in which urban areas have higher temperatures than adjacent rural areas, lead to increased energy demand, poor air quality, and greater public health risks. These impacts are particularly significant in rapidly urbanizing regions of Africa, where climate-adaptive infrastructure has yet to be fully established. Here, we propose a hybrid predictive model derived from Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) for deep learning-based forecasting of Surface Urban Heat Island (SUHI) intensities across the African continent.